I suspect we’re about to see a zeitgeist-level design ethos swing from “ideas worth spreading” (TED, media lab etc) to “jankiness worth fixing” The specific sordid reasons the trend is reversing now are actually not that important. It would have happened even without scandals.
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If you don't believe in vision's future, then you should probably just winddown the Media Lab and start a more serious research lab with a fresh culture.
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Possibly. This is is in fact what I suspect a lot of funders will do. In fact, taking it one degree out, the funding culture will change, and a different kind of billionaire/millionaire will step in while the glamor-seeking/BIRGing kind will retreat.
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Re: Vision Recession: I can imagine a few years of vision recession but not decades. Even the Great Depression elected FDR on vision even during the nation's collective emotional depression. What's your take?
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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I'm wondering how to make the "key results" part of such a bet though. Proposals?
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No clue, it's really a comparison of which of two ways of telling the story in 2040 rings more true. This is too soft to be codified in numbers and measures easily.... but that's going to be hard. I disagree with your reading of inter-war years/FDR for example.
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It’s all been basic repairs, jury-rigged workarounds etc. Stuff that’s 10% harder to do every year.