Malthusianism is an early form of basilisk. its enduring popularity, despite batting .000, comes from its promise that *somebody* is going to have to choose what kind of people there needs to be fewer of — who of course is going to be someone wise enough to embrace Malthusianism
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this is both carrot and stick: become an early adopter, get to play God and settle scores; wait around or deny and you're basically volunteering to be culled. really very solid design if you're looking for a durable meme that will kill a lot of people
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Replying to @chaosprime
This critique generalizes even more I think. It’s basically determinists who either willfully or obliviously ignore natural corrective/homeostatic mechanisms for nonlinear extrapolated instabilities. Ranging from market supply/demand to exit/voice to collapse.
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Replying to @vgr @chaosprime
Although in the Malthusian case, I'd argue that food shortages are a /linear/ instability in that food production per year is directly proportional to human life carrying capacity, ceteris paribus
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In the long term yeah, but the classical Malthusian argument assumes short term geometric population dynamics and a high starting point for living standards to fall from
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