A temptation of subcultural intellectualism is wanting to adopt to esoteric takes for roughly same reason you might want to wear uniquely “you” clothes. This poses a problem when best arguments are in fact boring, familiar ones that are commodities in intellectual fashion sense.
Lindy is a blackbox statistical test. I tend to analyze the position, not blindly accept it in proportion to antiquity. Typically I land on established but not ancient positions. Usually ~25-30y old. I suspect I’m most likely to trust ideas about as old as me.
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True, I think Lindy without reference to context is misleading - yes, there are Roman bridges still in use, but there are waaaaay more Roman bridges that have collapsed and vanished. But its value is in pointing out that good ideas don't often die of old age alone
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human nature doesn't change
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