Not the sort of thing I am normally comfortable sharing but feels like a public-service thing so I will. Short version of my 2 near misses.
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I’m sort of C- okay in physical crises (acting fast, locally) but I’m at my worst dealing with crises involving bureaucracy/paperwork. I get flustered and thrash and there’s a good chance I’ll make things worse if I don’t slow down, breathe and consciously switch gears.
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In general, it really sucks that cost of technological modernity is having to take care of a bunch of insecure physical artifacts (keys, cards, numbers, original docs) that control access to everything — spaces, money, healthcare. The 2FA phone is an especially horrible one.
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Every crisis now is more than the basic crisis (health, injury, loss, damage). It’s also a “stack crisis” where you have to reprogram your connection to the information infrastructure API on the fly.
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Pilots have a similar Rule of Threes: one thing goes wrong (you're late), it's annoying; two things go wrong (also had weather), then WATCH OUT because the third thing to go wrong is liable to kill you.
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Ditto for backcountry accidents. NOLS did some research into these incidents and determined that seemingly small initial factors (eg starting too late, splitting up group) often led to bigger problems and worse decisions that, in turn, produced disaster.
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