Longer than a few years, the medium/message coupling and co-evolution is too strong to be a;proximately separated. If it doesn’t fade to zero value in 3-4 years at most, it’s probably reshaping the knowledge pipes and persistent mental models need to be updated.
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A good example is VC and startups. The time constant is about 3-4 years. I was clued in enough to have true situation awareness for about a year twice in my life: ~2009, and ~2014. I am in a trough now. I can read startup news and parse it, but not really interpret it.
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Jargon like seed/A/B, ‘liquidation preference’, ‘convertible debt’, ‘pari passu’ etc is structural knowledge. It doesn’t decay but is useless without SA. SA: Knowing what they map to in a given year: ranges, which parts are flush versus starved, which firms are leading etc.
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Generalizing, vocabulary elements are knowledge. Proper names, numbers, rankings are situation awareness. They co-evolve. New jargon might emerge (“pre-seed”), universe might expand (Kickstarter). Stuff might go from SA to knowledge if institutionalized, like regulation (GDPR).
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Another example is climate change/action. “Duck curve” is knowledge Is a 3000 MW grid storage battery replacing a canceled gas peaked knowledge routine stuff or a significant thing? Being able to judge that is SA.
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Replying to @vgr
SA seems to be knowledge of >current< context? The biggest battery operating today is 200 MW/800 MWh in Dalian, China. Moss Landing will be 567.5 MW/2070 MWh. Currently: significant. Future grid? Routine.
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If you don't know current grid landscape, or you don't know future grid directions and plans, you will lack contextual knowledge, whether it's due to lack of awareness of current situation, failure of extrapolation, or lack of knowledge of grid operation.
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In other words, when it comes down to it, there's general knowledge, and there's context-specific knowledge. It's all knowledge. Situational Awareness has to do with *how* and *when* the knowledge is acquired. Studying the grid of 2015 won't help plan 2020; wrong context!
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In 2015, I would have laughed at the idea of planning a 3 GW battery in 2020. Today, I just say, which technology and how much, and maybe we should decentralize while we're at it.
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Bob Kerns (No PhD, but I know what one is, WSJ) Retweeted Venkatesh Rao
But situational awareness is never complete. It is filtered by our priorities and our ability to acquire knowledge. This extends to consequences. So Trump may get 80% in his context, but I score the results he gets as negative. Bad filter & eval functionhttps://twitter.com/vgr/status/1155218066273259520?s=20 …
Bob Kerns (No PhD, but I know what one is, WSJ) added,
Venkatesh Rao @vgrThis is how scenesters, wantapreneurs, Trump, PUA types etc operate. They have situation awareness without knowledge, in the form of pure behavior response maps. And it works sorta like a triage. 80% of the time, the blind, blackbox response to a situational stimulus is correct.Show this thread2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
If you don’t control his reward/punishment, your score is irrelevant to him
Sometimes SA+No-K types get lucky and get away with shit on their terms without ever understanding how or why. That’s life.
I’ll bet he ultimately doesn’t pay for anything and dies feeling he won.
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Replying to @vgr
Gee, if only there were a way to modify his context...
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Replying to @BobKerns
If he wins in 2020, I think the window closes. He’ll probably die before any consequences get to him.
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