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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

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Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

Conversational account. For work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian. IKEA builder.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 27 Jul 2019
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    Situation awareness is not knowledge (some prefer situational awareness). Knowledge is pipes, situation awareness is sensory information flowing through those pipes. If it decays to worthless in any time range from minutes to a few years, it’s probably pure situation awareness.

    1:18 PM - 27 Jul 2019
    • 8 Retweets
    • 35 Likes
    • mutwiri - Vivek Ponnaiyan Rahul Ramchandani Aashay Sanghvi Zakris Pierson David o'Bedlam Ben Ford Dran Fren
    1 reply 8 retweets 35 likes
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      2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 27 Jul 2019
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        Longer than a few years, the medium/message coupling and co-evolution is too strong to be a;proximately separated. If it doesn’t fade to zero value in 3-4 years at most, it’s probably reshaping the knowledge pipes and persistent mental models need to be updated.

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
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      3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 27 Jul 2019
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        A good example is VC and startups. The time constant is about 3-4 years. I was clued in enough to have true situation awareness for about a year twice in my life: ~2009, and ~2014. I am in a trough now. I can read startup news and parse it, but not really interpret it.

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
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      4. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 27 Jul 2019
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        Jargon like seed/A/B, ‘liquidation preference’, ‘convertible debt’, ‘pari passu’ etc is structural knowledge. It doesn’t decay but is useless without SA. SA: Knowing what they map to in a given year: ranges, which parts are flush versus starved, which firms are leading etc.

        1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes
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      5. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 27 Jul 2019
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        Generalizing, vocabulary elements are knowledge. Proper names, numbers, rankings are situation awareness. They co-evolve. New jargon might emerge (“pre-seed”), universe might expand (Kickstarter). Stuff might go from SA to knowledge if institutionalized, like regulation (GDPR).

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
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      6. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 27 Jul 2019
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        Another example is climate change/action. “Duck curve” is knowledge Is a 3000 MW grid storage battery replacing a canceled gas peaked knowledge routine stuff or a significant thing? Being able to judge that is SA.

        3 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
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      7. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 27 Jul 2019
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        SA is easily recovered if lost. But knowledge decay (pipes rusting and leaking) is not. If you’re out of a game for 3y you can get back in with a few weeks of catching up at most. If you’re out for 10, it might take years to get back in or be impossible. Too much pipe change.

        3 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
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      8. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 27 Jul 2019
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        If you can understand and judge news for important you have K+SA. If you can understand but not judge what’s important, you have K but not SA.

        1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes
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      9. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 27 Jul 2019
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        If you struggle to understand it at all, and too many concepts are new or being used in ways that seem “ungrammatical” with respect to your old mental models, knowledge has decayed. Either K nor SA. To complete the 2x2: is there a SA without K condition? Yes!

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
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      10. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 27 Jul 2019
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        Think of the parable (probably apocryphal) of Planck’s chauffeur. You can learn the input/output blackbox characteristics of 80% of a field’s discourses in a button-pushing way.https://fs.blog/2015/09/two-types-of-knowledge/ …

        1 reply 0 retweets 8 likes
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      11. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 27 Jul 2019
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        This is how scenesters, wantapreneurs, Trump, PUA types etc operate. They have situation awareness without knowledge, in the form of pure behavior response maps. And it works sorta like a triage. 80% of the time, the blind, blackbox response to a situational stimulus is correct.

        1 reply 0 retweets 11 likes
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      12. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 27 Jul 2019
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        To tease apart knowledge, you have to probe 20% zone, full of exceptions that violate triage blackbox stimulus-response rules. These can’t be memorized or “trained” on like a limited neural net since space of possibilities is too big. You have to apply knowledge. Pipe awareness.

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
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      13. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 27 Jul 2019
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        Here’s a 2x2pic.twitter.com/PJgSYdBzsW

        4 replies 5 retweets 19 likes
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      14. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 27 Jul 2019
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        Apologies for various typos

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      15. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 27 Jul 2019
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        This thread motivated by interactions with a worrying new class of “OODA bureaucrats” who are sort of literate in the vocabulary and structural/pipe knowledge of this stuff but don’t seem to get that it’s worthless without strong SA, which requires work to keep up to date.

        1 reply 0 retweets 8 likes
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      16. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 27 Jul 2019
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        In fact if you had to pick only one, you’d go for SA without K. At least you can fake it 80% of the time and maybe get lucky.

        3 replies 0 retweets 12 likes
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      17. End of conversation

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