Conversation

I feel like I can predict the future personal trajectories of 2 out of 3 people under 25 given a decent signal like a few hundred tweets. This is very depressing. But the 1 in 3 I can’t predict give me hope.
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Ofc it would be Middle-Aged Malpractice to actually share these predictions. The only ethical position is to hope you’re wrong about all of them and stfu. Not just me btw. I’d guess 1/3 of 40+ types have a similarly tuned classifier. Basic qualification for middle management.
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I’ll share what I think puts people in unpredictable 1/3 though: paying attention to something new happening in the environment that is itself unpredictable. Humans are inherently predictable. What makes them unpredictable is paying attention to unpredictable non-human signals
Replying to
A 45y old looking at a 25y old seriously tracking a legit new thing is like a camera trying to run facial recognition on someone wearing one of those cyberpunk IR hats designed to blind cameras. Basic weakness in middle-aged classifier is it’s trained on 20y out-of-date samples
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