“The likelihood of a major discovery increases steadily through one’s 20s and 30s and then declines through one’s 40s, 50s, and 60s.... The likelihood of producing a major innovation at age 70 is approximately what it was at age 20—almost nonexistent.” https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2019/07/work-peak-professional-decline/590650/ …
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Replying to @nils_gilman
This is both so obvious and so liberating. Though age of peak varies wildly per research by Dean Simonton
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Replying to @nils_gilman @vgr
I don't know: Kant wrote Critique of Pure Reason at 56, Judea Pearl wrote the Book of Why at 80! Maybe these are outliers we should ignore, but there are still reasons to hope you can produce an innovative and significant tome very late in life.
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Replying to @andrewthesmart @nils_gilman
That was Dean Simonton’s life work research. He’s written multiple books about how age of peak accomplishment varies by field.
9:54 AM - 19 Jun 2019
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