A megatrend hypothesis inspired by several microtrend that I think are related:
a) waldenponding
b) rise of heavy duty information management methods like BASB (build a second brain)
c) conversational media eating authorial media
d) "hivebrain" jokes/references
Conversation
If you put it together, you reach a megatrend conclusion: if you do not build a second brain or go offline, you will BECOME the second brain
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What do I mean. Basically, there's no way to actually handle the volume of information and news that all of us appear to be handling right now. Which means we are getting augmented cognition resources from somewhere. The default place is "social" media.
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The ersatz "social" functions of social media are not actually meeting social needs. Yet we indulge in them heavily.
Hypothesis 1: Evil addictive UX dark pattern grumble grumble ads hacked muh brain I'm going living in a log cabin
Hypothesis 2: They are meeting other needs
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There's been a round of pretentious commentary in old media about how Twitter isn't actually very representative blah blah blah. They're missing the point. Those who endure and stay on here are neither meeting social needs, nor imagining they are "representative" of zeitgeist
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What those of us who are here are doing is making a deal with the devil (or an angel): in return for being 1-2 years ahead of curve, we play 2nd brain to a shared first brain. We've ceded control of executive attention not to evil companies, but... an emergent oracular brain
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I called it playing your part in the Global Social Computer in the Cloud (GSCITC). This has now become a much more important part of the argument I'm developing. If you don't build your own 2nd brain, the GSCITC *is* your first brain and the one in your skull is your 2nd brain.
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What can we say about the GSCITC?
1. It is neither good nor evil, it just is
2. It is not smarter or dumber than humans (ie not an AGI or anything), just different
3. Its primary superpower is knowing the future
4. It is comparable to things like "the market"
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Replying to
Does it “know the future” in the sense of containing and revealing its already present seeds in legible form, before any other means can reveal them?
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You can’t reveal it from the outside by algorithmic means if that’s what you’re asking

