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A megatrend hypothesis inspired by several microtrend that I think are related: a) waldenponding b) rise of heavy duty information management methods like BASB (build a second brain) c) conversational media eating authorial media d) "hivebrain" jokes/references
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Interesting thread and models, but I'm dubious of the 2y assumption. Also, I think my vision of a crowdsourced meta layer for the internet would preserve/enhance any oracular qualities, while reducing required engagement time by around 90%.
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Sure, for the threads you're interested in. But there are many threads, and "social media" oracular capacity is going to vary wildly depending on both the thread and what the user brings to it.
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