We could do a much better job of building a useful doomsday clock today out of a rich variety of real signals instead of the opinions of a few scientists on one narrow threat (nuclear war) 🤔
A doomsday clock is like a psychohistory MVP. I haz modeling ideas.
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Idea: doomsday clock that runs on kairos rather than chronos. Every tick-tock is a semantically marked up real-world event that is appended to a live global gaming card feed with some tags and computed metrics like threat points, time horizon, etc. Narrative dice.
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You could sell a subscription service where gamers could say: give me a random event of 1-6 threat points with tags {politics, Africa, climate change}. App shows such card and you use it in game play 🤔
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How will you distinguish between fake and real signals in the era of fake news? I assume your models will need data that are human-produced and not just sensor data.
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Yeah, but have you considered
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The BoAS includes climate change rather heavily, judging by their tweets.
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