Conversation

The susceptibility of poor situation awareness to FUD is something like fragility of a thin column with cracks to buckling, or a house of cards. It’s not that you don’t know much, but that what you know can’t hold much weight or resist much perturbation.
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The real height of the column is the height of the stable rubble pile after it buckles and collapses. In that state, even though it’s a chaotic mess, it can hold more actual weight robustly. Under FUD, being deluded about a lot is a worse state than being confused about a little.