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Noah is on to something. I've noticed a marked dip in the sense of "this is where the action is" as well.
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I noticed that an increasing number of my engineer friends don't seem very excited about working in the tech industry anymore. I asked one why this was true, expecting him to give a politics-related answer. Instead, he said "Tech isn't creating the Next Big Thing anymore."
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Maybe the explanation is simpler. Huge cognitive burden allocated to JavaScript callbacks and React infrastructure, no energy left over for excitement and joy.
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I feel like I'm much more interested in podcasts, community, memes, and meaning-making recently. Tech is all about frontier expansion and I'm more drawn towards compression/digestion. I also can't deal with high-fantasy and I'm looking towards the domestic, I can barely watch TV.
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I wonder if steel and oil engineers felt this way about Pennsylvania during the transition from industrial greenfield (oil/steel platforms) to the fractal ways that rebuilt society (cars, roads, etc)
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So maybe Kurzweil was right in predicting the 2040s as the boom time for AI & robotics, IT industry/society underestimating their difficulties (yet again). So, biotech the place to look for technical excitement in the coming decade?
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Could be a liminal phase between major new platforms. Something similar happened in the early 2000s - desktop PCs were perfected, smartphones and cloud hadn't appeared yet, suddenly VCs were investing in things like "cleantech".
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Welcome to the slog. Software is eating the world, and we’re now in the stage of, “You’re not getting up from the table until you finish those peas.”
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