2 kids found 2 similar boxes. They opened box 1. It contained a cookie. Kid 1 immediately grabbed it and started eating it, saying “the other box probably has a cookie too; that one is yours” (proposition A)
They’re wired to behave in ways we tend to narrativize as “gambling” It’s like pretending cats and dogs can understand what we say in human language because they respond appropriately sometimes
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We model it as gambling because it works as a descriptive and predictive model of behaviour. Risk taking under uncertainty is basically every day in life
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Sure. You’re modeling for predictive success. I’m modeling for descriptive accuracy of subjective experience. “What is it _like_ to hold what logicians call a probabilistic belief”
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