2 kids found 2 similar boxes. They opened box 1. It contained a cookie. Kid 1 immediately grabbed it and started eating it, saying “the other box probably has a cookie too; that one is yours” (proposition A)
Probability theory is a an unnecessary level of epistemology that is neither necessary not sufficient to account for modal structure of subjective reality. I’m trying to describe at a level that works even for belief dynamics of babies and chimps.
-
-
I think de finetti answers this perfectly, and i agree with him that even simple living beings operate on subjective probability estimates all the time
-
But not consciously Just as modulation of emotional states like caring, excitement etc via dopamine regulation mainly. “Probabilistic belief” maps to things like “engaged” or “apathetic” and is not determinative (other factors modulate those states too)
- Show replies
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.