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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

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Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

This is my conversational account. For my work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Nov 2018
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    Woke up this AM with a weirdly well-formed idea: “Internet of Migrants” based on routing pack(et)s of 2-10 people point-to-point in humane, conflict-free way that uses an IP-like protocol between cities rather than visa regimes between nations (which suffers border buffer bloat).

    10:40 AM - 1 Nov 2018
    • 14 Retweets
    • 63 Likes
    • diachronist Christopher Tull 🌎💧 Zhan Li 🇪🇺🇬🇧 distanciamento anti-social 🎮🤓🎲📚 brrr Seitz Patrick Atwater Chris Clark Jason Radisson Josh Marshall
    4 replies 14 retweets 63 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Nov 2018
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        Also woke up kinda convinced it’s game over for climate change. Energy transition and dematerialization are still crucial, but things are already enough out of containment limits that refugee flow management is the bottleneck problem.

        4 replies 1 retweet 13 likes
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      3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Nov 2018
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        Migration is the general problem, and acute crisis refugee migrants are the corner case that will/should drive the redesign of antiquated visa regimes. And “refugees” are an artificial scarcity problem that presents as “huddled masses in border encampments”.

        1 reply 1 retweet 5 likes
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      4. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Nov 2018
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        If you look at actual flow numbers and match them to (interior, distributed) availability of potential humanitarian relief loci, problem is not as big as demagogues pretend. It is artificially inflated due to political theater and lousy centralized security-theater logistics.

        2 replies 2 retweets 14 likes
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      5. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Nov 2018
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        I strongly suspect a well-designed Internet of Migrants could handle 10-100x the current global refugee flow with 1/10th the conflict, much of which exists because the humanitarian burden is concentrated on national-border communities, not because resources are lacking.

        1 reply 3 retweets 14 likes
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      6. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Nov 2018
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        Moving the needy to the long-term resource sites, rather than emergency resources to needy, keeping pack(et)s intact (families mainly, but any small group that wants to stay together) with effective triaged routing solves a lot of the issues of burden concentration.

        1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
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      7. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Nov 2018
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        Btw the center of gravity of the problem is developing world to developing world (eg Myanmar-> Bangladesh), where most refugee flows already happen, not developing to developed, which should happen more, but is unlikely to. So IoM should be designed for developing-to-developing.

        3 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
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      8. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Nov 2018
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        City-to-city migration protocol also seamlessly handles domestic migration and displacement, and chronic as well as acute stressors. Basically whole problem and solution needs to be moved down 2 levels of political aggregation to cities, which is where the provisioning happens.

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
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      9. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Nov 2018
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        IoM governance would include a macro (nation level) refugee-credit type market similar to carbon credit, based on globally shared responsibility for creating refugees. And an individual-level market mechanism like a “migrantcoin” currency to bookkeep detailed resource flows.

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
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      10. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Nov 2018
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        Crucial design factor: cities (like Utica, NY) would opt-in to IoM, providing capacity in return for insuring own needs for displacement insurance and share of aid monies. Of course vast disparities in exposures to risks so refugee credit scheme will be tricky to design.

        1 reply 1 retweet 5 likes
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      11. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Nov 2018
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        Nation-level policing of borders would still matter, but only at the level of dealing with security threats. Cities would issue migration “tickets” based on capacity, not nations. But nations would vet for *real* security threats at borders. That would be much smaller, like 5%.

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
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      12. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Nov 2018
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        Note, much of this merely formalizes what already happens informally. Migrants don’t vaguely move from country to country, they move from city to city. Nobody *wants* to be stuck in a desert tent cities/de facto concentration camps run by military police for years.

        1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
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      13. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Nov 2018
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        A 2x2: X= acute vs chronic displacement pressure Y = opportunity pull vs crisis push. You get 4 categories of migration flow. The opportunity-pull flows are what create a lot of wealth (gold rushes, tech booms, brain drains) via talent swarming. It’s the same logistics problem.

        2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
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      14. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Nov 2018
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        You want the IoM to encourage constant flows and circulations, turning crisis-push flows into opportunity-pull flows. Use humanitarian relief actions to automatically bootstrap labor-market efficiency upgrades. Historically this has always happened anyway.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
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      15. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Nov 2018
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        Half of American science/technology leadership in the last century has been due to refugee-turned-swarm-talent flows. Like Hungarian mathematicians around WW2. We just need to scale up, globalize, and democratize the process.

        2 replies 2 retweets 11 likes
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      16. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Nov 2018
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        Solving for pack-integrity at city level rather than for national identity integrity at borders also is the right resolution for harmonious cultural integration. You get (eventually) integrates Syrian families rather than ghettoes ripe for resentment and radicalization.

        1 reply 1 retweet 10 likes
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      17. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Nov 2018
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        Keep families, friend groups and coffee-clubs of Hungarian mathematicians intact. Discourage tribes from forming or hardening their cultural boundaries via migration through hostile territories that view them as faceless, threatening invading masses. Personalize to humanize.

        1 reply 0 retweets 11 likes
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      18. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Nov 2018
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        The “caravan” is presented as an invading army of orcs from Mordor. Viewed at right resolution it’s just a few hundred families that want to stay together and could easily be distributed across ~100 cities, all of which would have kindness/capacity to handle 10 families apiece

        2 replies 3 retweets 20 likes
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      19. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Nov 2018
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        IoM, properly designed, could also probably handle domestic homelessness etc. too much better. Anyway hope that’s some good food for thought.

        3 replies 0 retweets 10 likes
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      20. End of conversation

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