Well Bayesian inference kinda worked. Crazy true-flag Republican over devious false-flag antifa. Hanlon’s Razor + Occam’s razor. Florida angle = increase posterior probability of simulation. Filipino/Hispanic heritage = no clue what priors to update
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Replying to @YourAbuse and @NineBandedBooks
I’d weight ‘fair’ more like 95:5 not-false-flag:false-flag. Way more factors and candidate people in former hypothesis.
