Predicting the future is a random access process, but inventing the future is a serial process. Most of us (me included) engage with the future the wrong way around: predicting it serially as a narrative, inventing it random-access via spaghetti on the wall pseudo-experiments.
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Somehow, agility and iteration have gotten conflated with *small* experiments or worse, *partial* experiments. The risk/return profile of an experiment is a product of the steps in longest chain. You can’t lower risk or increase returns by increasing number of first-steps.
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That approach is for people investing in the future rather than trying to invent it. Don’t invent like an investor or invest like an inventor unless you have O(n^2) resources, n=number of hypothesis *chains*
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I have no idea why I’m tweeting this shit. Yet another of my massively parallel idea explorations driven by misguided intuition that 100 tweets will somehow equal 1 blog post
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End of conversation
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