Skip to content
By using Twitter’s services you agree to our Cookies Use. We and our partners operate globally and use cookies, including for analytics, personalisation, and ads.

This is the legacy version of twitter.com. We will be shutting it down on June 1, 2020. Please switch to a supported browser, or disable the extension which masks your browser. You can see a list of supported browsers in our Help Center.

  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • About

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

Tweets

Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

This is my conversational account. For my work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

Tweets

  • © 2020 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Imprint
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    1. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 8 Oct 2018
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      Predicting the future is a random access process, but inventing the future is a serial process. Most of us (me included) engage with the future the wrong way around: predicting it serially as a narrative, inventing it random-access via spaghetti on the wall pseudo-experiments.

      2 replies 12 retweets 54 likes
      Show this thread
      Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 8 Oct 2018
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      Prediction: don’t extrapolate the current narrative, with or without discontinuities or forks. It’s fun but useless. Save that for fiction. Instead, sort small marginal developments into “part of the unevenly distributed future” versus “noise”. Spot seeds, not trees.

      1:19 PM - 8 Oct 2018
      • 1 Retweet
      • 21 Likes
      • Bloop1010Bloop Sourin Paul Bandeauxx. Nigel Wallis Khuyen 🎙 Piyush Maverick Tainguriya Customer Support🎙 Russell Gorddard Erik Elena
      1 reply 1 retweet 21 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 8 Oct 2018
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Invention: Don’t confuse experimentation with coin-tossing/dice-rolling iid trials. The power of an experiment is proportional to the length of the serial chain of linked hypotheses it is part of. A 2-link hypothesis chain is 4x more powerful than 2 parallel experiments.

          1 reply 1 retweet 16 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 8 Oct 2018
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          If you experimentally test a first stage and second stage rocket design, you have a launcher to orbit. If you test 2 first stage designs, you have 2 first stage designs. 2 half rockets. Serialized parlayed bets = create future. Parallel bets = futz around feeling futuristic.

          1 reply 3 retweets 15 likes
          Show this thread
        4. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 8 Oct 2018
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          Somehow, agility and iteration have gotten conflated with *small* experiments or worse, *partial* experiments. The risk/return profile of an experiment is a product of the steps in longest chain. You can’t lower risk or increase returns by increasing number of first-steps.

          1 reply 1 retweet 14 likes
          Show this thread
        5. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 8 Oct 2018
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          That approach is for people investing in the future rather than trying to invent it. Don’t invent like an investor or invest like an inventor unless you have O(n^2) resources, n=number of hypothesis *chains*

          1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes
          Show this thread
        6. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 8 Oct 2018
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation

          I have no idea why I’m tweeting this shit. Yet another of my massively parallel idea explorations driven by misguided intuition that 100 tweets will somehow equal 1 blog post 😂

          0 replies 0 retweets 10 likes
          Show this thread
        7. End of conversation

      Loading seems to be taking a while.

      Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

        Promoted Tweet

        false

        • © 2020 Twitter
        • About
        • Help Center
        • Terms
        • Privacy policy
        • Imprint
        • Cookies
        • Ads info