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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

Tweets

Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

This is my conversational account. For my work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 11 Aug 2018
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    The reason I don’t really care about climate skeptics is that I don’t need to believe they’re 100% wrong or that I’m 100% right to want to help undertake meaningful climate action. Pascal’s wager thinking applies. Even a 10% chance climate scientists are right is enoughto act on

    8:38 AM - 11 Aug 2018
    • 23 Retweets
    • 120 Likes
    • Winning Emergence Josh Marshall SavvySME Ansgar Dietrichs Nishtha JL Nigel Anthony Ponderful Srinivasan Ramachandiran
    7 replies 23 retweets 120 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 11 Aug 2018
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        The other big reason is that we’re overdue for a major tech upgrade to out energy/material systems anyway. There’s other reasons to want the transition, like 10xing abundance. Using bits to create a lot more bang per joule or gram of earth resources.

        1 reply 4 retweets 35 likes
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      3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 11 Aug 2018
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        But perhaps the most important reason is that it’s an interesting way to continue the civilization game. We’ve literally played through the Industrial Age level and it is just boring now. A post-transition game level would be new, fun, have lots of new gameplay.

        1 reply 4 retweets 33 likes
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      4. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 11 Aug 2018
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        This is why I dislike “sustainability” frames. That’s just budgeting energy/matter to continue this level of the game indefinitely. It’s like if the only video games available were computerized board games. Sustainability is like computerizing chess. I’d like Tetris invented.

        4 replies 3 retweets 37 likes
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      2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 11 Aug 2018
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        It’s a bullshit argument, but not one I’ll attempt to debunk in Twitter. And we’re transitioning so slowly anyway, “too fast” is a ridiculous concern.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      3. End of conversation
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      2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 11 Aug 2018
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        10% probability is not 10% understanding

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Ben Golub‏ @ben_golub 11 Aug 2018
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        Replying to @vgr

        By Pascal's wager thinking you mean expected value thinking :). Pascal's wager is not a good form of argument - you can justify totally insane things

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 11 Aug 2018
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        Replying to @ben_golub

        I mean what I said

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. 2 more replies
      1. The Abs-Tract Org.‏ @tato_tweets 11 Aug 2018
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        Replying to @vgr @MimeticValue

        Yup, it worth preparing for the flood, even if we didn't cause it... but we did.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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