Heh, I just have a strong immune response to argument by authority in general, on subjects where there are no viewpoint privileges except time (as opposed to for eg astronomy with its instruments). My first theory of anything political is generally my own prima facie one.
It's the job of intelligence though, prepping reports that the policy people should be reading. They certainly know. At least the major western intelligence agencies do. I can understand the policy people of some minor country making the mistake because they lack the apparatus.
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heh, oddly enough I was kind of being nudged toward military intelligence as a career out of hs (had one of those supposedly 100% objective computer-aided high-school career aptitudes tests *and* a foaf with 12 years as an army intelligence linguist actively endorsing it) so
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you'd think intel wouldn't have the same institutional-culture problem but the big complaint of ppl in it at the time was that it did anyway - the personality type that's going to be good at humint is going to be a bad "culture fit" for military-in-general almost by definition
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