You know that feeling when you start watching a movie you know you won’t have time to finish, like on a flight?
One reason tracking current affairs today is frustrating is that it’s all beginnings of stories I won’t live to see end of.
- Rise of China
- AI
- Decline of West
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Each of these stories is going to take another 50 years to unfold.
Others in the 100 year range: climate change, energy transition, decline of nation states and corporations
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There's always the chance that we'll obliterate ourselves to extintion.
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No. Maybe 70% likelihood they’ll al take 50+ years.
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Given current events, I wouldn’t rule out number three on your list there.
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In a decade, AI should be able to predict how the other stories would end (and influence the endings).
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In small town JSR we got TV in 1984, internet in Delhi in 1995, e-commerce jobs in 2001, online biz intel in 2005, electricity market real-time analytics 2010; now we're exploring ML/AI/drones for the power sector. If I'd punted on the future in 1984, I'd have been way off mark!
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