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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

Tweets

Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

This is my conversational account. For my work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    1. Duke Nukem Groyper‏ @DukeGroyper 11 Jun 2018
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      Duke Nukem Groyper Retweeted Venkatesh Rao

      Currency exchange -> Reserve Currency (USD swap line) Reserve currency comes from US trade + military superpower Also legal regimes ultimately mean nothing w/o force to back them, particularly if you have habitual line-stepping regimes who fancy themselves hegemonshttps://twitter.com/vgr/status/1006315868660224000 …

      Duke Nukem Groyper added,

      Venkatesh Rao @vgr
      Feels like there’s a few different things that can underwrite a rules-based order with teeth, besides military power (which includes embargos/blockades) Veto-based legal regimes (UNSC) Currency exchange rates (WB/IMF) Technical-standards based (ITU etc) Refugee policies
      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
    2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 11 Jun 2018
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      Replying to @DukeGroyper

      Not really. Other currencies have non-trivial amounts of power, the Euro and Yen have been used to hedge against the dollar. “Reserve currency” is not as strong a concept as people think.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    3. Duke Nukem Groyper‏ @DukeGroyper 11 Jun 2018
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      Replying to @vgr

      @amlivemon

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    4. Live Monitor‏ @amlivemon 11 Jun 2018
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      Replying to @DukeGroyper @vgr

      Euro and Yen dependent on dollar so “hedging” against it a comical event

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
    5. Live Monitor‏ @amlivemon 11 Jun 2018
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      Replying to @amlivemon @DukeGroyper @vgr

      Reality is that shortage of Eurodollars creates illiquidity forcing those central banks to boost liquidity via swap lines. Without dollars, they fail.

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    6. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 11 Jun 2018
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      Replying to @amlivemon @DukeGroyper

      I’m in over my head on this topic, but doesn’t seem to me that dollar power is absolute, or that US alone determines fate of dollar, let alone on the basis of military power. Sure other entities depend on dollar, but reverse is also true. Interdependence.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Live Monitor‏ @amlivemon 11 Jun 2018
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      Replying to @vgr @DukeGroyper

      There’s two absolutes: If Japan or EU facing economic crisis, they call the US Fed. If Japan or EU facing security crisis, they call the Pentagon. Yes there is interdependence, but the US would be hurt less and recover quicker. Since 2012, ECB/EU banks subsidiary of US banks

      1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
      Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 11 Jun 2018
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      Replying to @amlivemon @DukeGroyper

      I don’t think either is true anymore under Trump

      5:20 PM - 11 Jun 2018
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. Live Monitor‏ @amlivemon 11 Jun 2018
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          Replying to @vgr @DukeGroyper

          Fed independence is well known and congress well angered over...Pentagon acts occasionally in spite of President(Dunford vs Obama in Iraq)

          0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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