What sports (and games) that exist NOW will still be popular in 2100 and why?
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90% Cricket, soccer, tennis
60% Basketball, hockey
<10% American football
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Logic: things the reflect industrial organization are most fragile. Things that embody pre-industrial org are least fragile.
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this is another way of phrasing Lindy effect, I think?
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No, Lindy effect is acausal. It’s just Bayesian priors weighted by length of history. I’m suggesting a causal hypothesis: games serving as allegories for patterns of life.
So you're suggesting we're returning to a pre-industrial mindset?
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