The concept of “unfailure“: an idea that doesn’t succeed at the moment it is first proposed, but whose memory is somehow maintained, thus surviving as a possibility that may emerge in some possible future — like a dormant seed, awaiting propitious warmth and moisture
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Replying to @nils_gilman
“Being too early is the same thing as being wrong” — Old Confucian saying in SV
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Replying to @vgr
“Early is wrong” is true in business, but not in politics.
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Replying to @nils_gilman
How's it different? What changes over time in politics between when it doesn't work and does? In tech, some enabling condition usually goes from 0 to 1 (like bandwidth in the case of streaming video)
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Replying to @vgr
Consider Gavin Newsom legalizing gay marriage in San Francisco in 2004. At the time, this move was widely seen as career suicide; now he’s riding his rep as a civil rights visionary all the way to the governor’s mansion, and perhaps beyond.
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ah makes sense, surfing overton window. You can't get too far ahead though. If it had been 1994 instead of 2004, it *would* have been suicide. A good research project would be to detect these time-bomb political investments early.
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