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varadmehta's profile
Varad Mehta
Varad Mehta
Varad Mehta
@varadmehta

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Varad Mehta

@varadmehta

"Confirmed fascist" and prequel apologist. You decide which is worse.

Near where Washington crossed the Delaware.
independent.academia.edu/VaradMehta
Joined November 2012

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    1. Varad Mehta‏ @varadmehta 24 Mar 2019

      Varad Mehta Retweeted (((Harry Enten)))

      It really is Biden, Bernie, and then a bunch of also-rans. If these numbers hold, we could be down to a four-person race a lot sooner than people think. I do wonder what the numbers look like if only declared candidates (so no Biden) are polled.https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1109803524165156864 …

      Varad Mehta added,

      (((Harry Enten)))Verified account @ForecasterEnten
      New Fox News poll... Biden 31%, Sanders 23%, Harris 8%, O'Rourke 8%, Booker 4%, Warren 4%, Gillibrand 2%, Buttigieg 1%, Castro 1%, de Blasio 1%, Delaney 1%, Inslee 1%, Klobuchar 1%, Yang 1%... all else lower https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-3-24-2019 … pic.twitter.com/pvU8FWCU2H
      Show this thread
      6 replies 6 retweets 8 likes
      Show this thread
      Varad Mehta‏ @varadmehta 24 Mar 2019

      Varad Mehta Retweeted (((Harry Enten)))

      A lot of folks in the replies patting themselves on the back that Trump is doomed if he's only getting 40% head-to-head. But his approval is 46%, and that's the baseline you should be using. He's not getting only 40%, no matter what you want to believe.https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1109804204783271938 …

      Varad Mehta added,

      (((Harry Enten)))Verified account @ForecasterEnten
      General election poll (which is not predictive at this stage historically... though provides a baseline): Biden 47%, Trump 40%; Trump 41%, Harris 39%; Trump 42%, Warren 40%; Sanders 44%, Trump 41%... Trump numbers fairly consistent in here. Dems move around.
      Show this thread
      8:05 AM - 24 Mar 2019
      • 3 Retweets
      • 8 Likes
      • Steven 🇺🇸🇮🇹🇻🇦 Andrew Christiansen 🇨🇦🇺🇸 Alexander 🐢🏈 Fulk FitzWarin Jeremy Stephens Michæl jp InTheRightColumn Toluwaniyi Adebayo
      9 replies 3 retweets 8 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Michael Watson‏ @MichaelWatsonDC 24 Mar 2019
          Replying to @varadmehta

          Yep. Watch JA until the Dems are down to like 2-4. I think he loses at JA 46, but he probably wins at JA 48.

          1 reply 2 retweets 0 likes
        3. This Tweet is unavailable.
        4. Show replies
        1. Conor‏ @cb0321 24 Mar 2019
          Replying to @varadmehta

          I don't know, two super old white dudes seems just a little bit to rich

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. Andrew Donaldson‏ @four4thefire 24 Mar 2019
          Replying to @varadmehta

          And Biden's number goes down the second he declares, if he does, right now he enjoys the buffering of being a wished-for candidate.

          2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
        3. Varad Mehta‏ @varadmehta 24 Mar 2019
          Replying to @four4thefire

          It'll be interesting to see what happens there. You're hardly alone in thinking he drops precipitously, promptly.

          2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. jp‏ @JohnPlatner 24 Mar 2019
          Replying to @varadmehta

          Clean hill of health on mueller is probably worth 2 points not in the numbers yet imho.

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Varad Mehta‏ @varadmehta 24 Mar 2019
          Replying to @JohnPlatner

          We'll know in a week or two. Maybe.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Show replies
        1. Adam Schiavone‏ @AdamSchiavone 24 Mar 2019
          Replying to @varadmehta

          Trump probably has 44.5% in the bank and could get as high as 48%. Ppl are kidding themselves if they think he comes in @ 40

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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