Madalina Vicari

@v_madalina

Soft & hard info mainly on energy geopolitics & geoeconomics/Russia Ukraine/Turkey/eye on some strategic IR issues. Art, artificial intelligence. Me in header

Belgium/SE Asia
Vrijeme pridruživanja: svibanj 2014.

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  1. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    CNOOC has declared force majeure on some contracts It’s among the first force majeures being invoked in the global commodity market after the coronavirus outbreak

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  2. prije 4 sata

    Short-term sales of crude oil & into China almost to standstill this week as heavily hurt demand. 's world’s largest importer of crude oil *One supplier of LNG to CNOOC received a potential notice of force majeure last week

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  3. prije 13 sati

    "transatlantic relationship" than NS2 sanctions *and I love how the wording "transatlantic relationship" is deliberately misused by some pundits😉* Last but not least imo, the info about sanctions channelled to H. to send a message to some stakeholders>to what purpose is the key

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  4. prije 13 sati

    some EU members would be happy with this kind of sanctions against NS2, while others (two at least) would support the US position>hence, to get a consensus in the Council of EU wouldn't be straightforward whatsoever. There are other issues that can affect far more the

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  5. prije 13 sati

    to start trade talks with the US within a few weeks, encompassing not only the car tariffs, but other areas as well>OK, the US industry may get hurt in the eventuality of US car tariffs, but the industry of a EU specific member can get hurt, too, right? The second reason is that

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  6. prije 13 sati

    enacted, come out, like a sort of Chevalier:), with a stance that was promising retaliation on behalf of the EU 😀 (I'm ending here the comments, so it'd deserve more) But right now i) +ii) =unlikely & that for two main reasons at least : seems that hopes

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  7. prije 13 sati

    , etc. narratives. ➡️ For US sanctions against NS2 to drive a "huge spat between Washington and Brussels, it needs two main things : i) implication of ; ii)wide agreement for an éventuel position of Commission among EU members 👇 *When sanctions were

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  8. prije 13 sati

    into EU sanctions architecture against Russia👉to not forget, sanctions had initially started by being coordinated with former US administration ; ii) Berlin & Paris would intensify political messages and actions to Russia within the "rapprochement", "new security architecture"

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  9. prije 13 sati

    hurt the EU energy security and so. Oh, and stances about "EU economic sovereignty" >those may come from Paris too, as is a fashionable term in some pol' & business circles And important to follow if : i) Germany'd use-and to what extent-the leverage of its participation +

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  10. prije 13 sati

    ➡️Some wouldn't like to hear that, but it may not be a "huge spat" between the US & EU ➡️It can be an import factor in further driving the wedge bw/n US & Germany, and eventually France. And we'd very likely witness stances from 🇩🇪 officials on how US sanctions on +

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  11. prije 14 sati

    there's the precedent - successfully implemented, done would say-of sanctions on Iran oil

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  12. prije 14 sati

    the European companies who lended the money, will be impacted. 3) It'd be straightforward to determine who'd be purchasers of the gas flowing through NS2, but this possibility seems to me a "hard" option--in terms of economic, political, and image-related consequences*though

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  13. prije 14 sati

    To get back to your initial point, there is also the possibility for the sanctions, however they may be enacted, to target directly Gazprom>not a very likely prospect, but not one to be completely ruled out. In this situation, its financial partners within the NS2 project, aka

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  14. prije 14 sati

    to send a political message towards some stakeholders, German government included> Q is to what purpose? In the same context, another Q is whether a media outlet such as H. could have fallen for mere manipulation/disinformation -not impossible, but still difficult to believe

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  15. prije 14 sati

    strong & wide-broad scope reason(s) to do that>they exist, though 2)>A key element is who might be the "diplomatic circles" ("diplomatic"😉😎 is an wording often used for such type of sources) from Washington who leaked the info to Habdelsblatt. In my reading, the intention was

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  16. prije 14 sati

    what's the likelihood. The latest (Dec 27, 2019) official position expressed by State Department is following : "the United States' intention is to stop construction of Nord Stream 2" but aside rhetoric, a lot of risks & implications to try to stop NS2 at this stage; it requires

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  17. prije 14 sati

    Food-for-thought points. Imo 😉👇 1)> Right if it's about new legislation. However provisions can allow a swift enactment of sanctions against . It suffices new guidelines of application and/or new executive order. Ain't going to attempt deciphering now

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  18. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 19 sati

    My piece on Russia, the West and Sanctions, just out in and free to read.

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  19. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    This is really astonishing: LNG spot prices have plunged to a record low of $3.363 per million British thermal -- but even more astonishing is that a few parties were bidding the market at a (high) $2-handle for March and April delivery -- via

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  20. 5. velj

    The -vs-US-sanctions saga hasn't ended with sanctions against Reportedly Congress ready to move quickly (Feb/March) to another set of sanctions, this time against European companies involved in project AND (!) even possible buyers of gas flowing thr pipeline

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