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tony873004's profile
Tony Dunn
Tony Dunn
Tony Dunn
@tony873004

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Tony Dunn

@tony873004

Orbit simulations of planets, comets, asteroids and other interesting stuff. Amateur astronomer. Bachelor's: Physics & Astro, SFSU. Riordan physics teacher.

San Francisco
orbitsimulator.com
Joined April 2010

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    Tony Dunn‏ @tony873004 Sep 20

    Asteroid 2020 SO may get captured by Earth from Oct 2020 - May 2021. Current nominal trajectory shows shows capture through L2, and escape through L1. Highly-chaotic path, so be prepared for lots of revisions as new observations come in. @renerpho @nrco0e http://orbitsimulator.com/gravitySimulatorCloud/simulations/1600619137026_2020SO.html …pic.twitter.com/RfUaeLtEWq

    10:13 AM - 20 Sep 2020
    • 675 Retweets
    • 1,496 Likes
    • 🇯🇵大和 学🇯🇵 ほし tom またバケか!orz cham Dark Matter Andrés Vieira López Rivero Billy V. Never more!
    83 replies 675 retweets 1,496 likes
      1. عبدالعزيز علي‏ @AzizAstro Sep 20
        Replying to @tony873004

        @MulhamH

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Simon Wood‏ @mungewell Sep 20
        Replying to @tony873004 @renerpho @nrco0e

        Great animation! What makes '2020 SO' more liable to capture vs something else, say '2020 SW'? Relatively similar sizes, '2020 SW' has closer flyby distance but greater relative velocity...pic.twitter.com/ERdC5dDfuu

        2 replies 1 retweet 10 likes
      3. Daniel Bamberger‏ @renerpho Sep 20
        Replying to @mungewell @tony873004 @nrco0e

        The encounter velocity. Its orbit is inherently similar to Earth's, with a period close to 1 year, low eccentricity and low inclination. This means it approaches Earth slowly. It does not take a large change to its velocity to enter orbit around Earth.pic.twitter.com/DwjGt9NYfd

        0 replies 5 retweets 30 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. boulos 🎂 🎂 🎂‏ @martyratoa Sep 20
        Replying to @tony873004 @renerpho @nrco0e

        we should try landing on it

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      3. 53746566616E204A6F73657068204B6F7A616B00‏ @lentilwallop Sep 21
        Replying to @martyratoa @tony873004 and

        we should try putting it in earth orbit...

        1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. J‏ @astrocrash Sep 20
        Replying to @tony873004 @renerpho @nrco0e

        Flashed by too fast but what was the minimum distance to earth in LD?

        3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Nrco0e‏ @nrco0e Sep 20
        Replying to @astrocrash @tony873004 @renerpho

        The first perigee distance is 0.13 LD while the second perigee is less certain around 0.57 LD (minimum 0.45 LD).

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Nrco0e‏ @nrco0e Sep 20
        Replying to @tony873004 @renerpho

        Calculations by Sam Deen rule out most possibilities of artificial origin, indicating that it is most likely natural. Interestingly, the asteroid may have been briefly captured by Earth back in 1966, but clearly its geocentric orbit did not last very long. https://groups.io/g/mpml/topic/another_natural_satellite_of/76979066?p=,,,20,0,0,0::recentpostdate%2Fsticky,,,20,2,0,76979066 …

        1 reply 4 retweets 17 likes
      3. Daniel Bamberger‏ @renerpho Sep 20
        Replying to @nrco0e @tony873004

        Alan Harris on MPML: Paul Chodas has tentatively id'ed it with Surveyor 2 Centaur rocket body, launched 20 Sep 1966. The very low Earth encounter velocity 0.6 km/s is even low for lunar ejecta, so it is unlikely it is a natural body, even lunar ejecta, more likely space junk

        0 replies 4 retweets 29 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Brian Miller‏ @BrianMiller2357 Sep 20
        Replying to @tony873004 @renerpho @nrco0e

        “So” glad it’s only 6-14m in size. Otherwise such a neat hit...(and unknown future orbit) would be concerning! 😬

        1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
      3. Cliff Tyllick‏ @clifftyll Sep 20
        Replying to @BrianMiller2357 @tony873004 and

        If it’s hollow—in other words, a rocket body—that’s all the better.

        0 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
      4. End of conversation

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