1. Scenario analysis Russia vs. US war around 2025: Trump is reelected. The 8 years of his administration is mark by growing ethnic conciousness. US politics increasingly becomes overtly racialised and ethnicised. Public trust in institutions outside the military plummets.
7. Result: US vs. Russia war. How likely is this? Now that I’ve written it out, more probable than I would have thought.
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youre counting on the naivité/uninformedness of the lady trump successor to which is possible, but honestly unlikely. As I see it, after trump proving the MO, presidential candidates are more likely to become more, not less, cunning from now on.
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Even if she, this one, isnt - she wont be winning the nomination then, because 7 other dudes who want to pull a trump will outcompete her
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I also somewhat doubt that Putin will go out without securing an heir, but it's been a while since I really followed russian news
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final note: I think clinton potentially set back the >historical 1st woman president by as much as 15-20 years, the time it takes to grow an entirely new voting generation. The current one has had the picture sullied. "It was supposed to be her turn" etc etc etc ad naus.
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because even if they got the >1st woman president now, the reaction would be, "well, it doesnt mean anything now", "the moment has passed". "I shouldn't have to tell you what's wrong about it". maybe not expressed vocally, but definately emotionally the case/motivation
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the entire setup stinks of a lover scorned, and no diamond necklace is winning them back
End of conversation
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