2. Trump’s successor Rep candidate is beaten in a wafer thin and heavily contested election. She is a relatively young Latin-American politician with little experience in government. She came to political maturity sincerely believing that “Russia controls the US government”.
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3. Political infighting and chaos ensues in Washington as the new administration attempts to purge “white supremacists” from the government. Mass resignations and chaos engulf the State Department and associated institutions.
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4. Internally the US faces widespread but containable civil disorder as people take revenge on the Trumpers who persecuted them, as they see it, during the administration. Trumpers fight back sporadically.
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5. Meanwhile, in Eastern Europe, an aging Putin (now insecure as younger rivals jockey to take his crown) is fencing with the Baltic States and Poland. A small miscalculation at a border town is seized on by the US president.
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6. In the midst of domestic confusion and profound mistrust (she thinks Russia has subverted her bureaucracy), she orders a military response that is much firmer than required. Putin, mentally slower and hemmed in at home, responds in kind. Military escalation follows.
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7. Result: US vs. Russia war. How likely is this? Now that I’ve written it out, more probable than I would have thought.
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End of conversation
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