The sample in the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, which took the AFQT test when they were 15-23 in 1980, shows a more negative relationship for women than for men in number of children born by 2010-2014.pic.twitter.com/uvvmPSpZTp
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The sample in the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, which took the AFQT test when they were 15-23 in 1980, shows a more negative relationship for women than for men in number of children born by 2010-2014.pic.twitter.com/uvvmPSpZTp
The sample in the NLSY: 97, who were born in 1980-1984 and took the ASVAB Math and Reading test in 1999, shows a negative relationship for both men and women in number of children born by 2015.pic.twitter.com/JiPpIItpkE
The NLSY: 97 distinguishes between resident and non-resident children; there's a very strong positive relationship between male ASVAB score as a teen and whether a man is living with his kids in his early 30s.pic.twitter.com/2hF03n50GJ
I think 30-39 is partly biasing this? I'm not quite duplicating this....
How do you mean?
My guess is also that the smarter ones will on average have kids later, so lifetime birth numbers would not differ so dramatically.
That's definitely true, though there may be drawbacks to delaying too long, obv
For example, this is from the Educational Longitudinal Study of 2002; obviously this is pretty much about delaying children rather than expected TFR, but it's still a very strong relationship for a test given in 10th grade.pic.twitter.com/Pwb3FAMf70
that's like 90% about delay, not final outcome. For dysgenics, it's completed fertility or bust my man.
This one should come with sound effects.
WHEEE!
this is so bad 10/10 on wordsum is not even that hard
also this bucks historic trend of the negative fertility effects of iq being much worse in women no?
Yeah that’s what surprised me (in terms of historical data) but also seems totally correct given my intuitive sense of the world. Admittedly this is 30-39YO, but it’s bad if smart men are getting started at 42 regardless.
What are the median wordsum scores?
Median and Mean are both 6
Seriously? Those are some very big max-min ratios, > 3! I would have guessed maybe 1.5. Ah, this is in part birth delay...what it look like for 40-59 yr olds?
See the next tweet, for the NLSY sample in their late 40s-50s. Different cohort though, so we'll have to wait to find out how much is just birth delay vs. genuine change in TFRs by group.
Devil’s Interval S O U N D S in the deep
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