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tjcsmyth's profile
Thomas Smyth
Thomas Smyth
Thomas Smyth
@tjcsmyth

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Thomas Smyth

@tjcsmyth

Building Trim: an AI assistant for your financial life. @ask_trim

SF
asktrim.com
Joined December 2010

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    Thomas Smyth‏ @tjcsmyth 13 Jun 2014

    New blog: #TruthCoin, predictive markets, and the future of information & value http://www.thomassmyth.com/blog.html  @gasnerpants @adikamdar @pmarca

    2:30 PM - 13 Jun 2014
    • 12 Retweets
    • 25 Likes
    • neil21 Tim O'Brien jake Andrew dimzky Matt Borgard Adrian Druzgalski tom38 Taylor Hodge
    1 reply 12 retweets 25 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. i hereby demand a ham sandwich‏ @gasnerpants 13 Jun 2014
        Replying to @tjcsmyth

        @tjcsmyth @adikamdar @pmarca Even if the market is decentralized, how do events get adjudicated?

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Thomas Smyth‏ @tjcsmyth 13 Jun 2014
        Replying to @gasnerpants

        @gasnerpants @adikamdar I think the idea is that there's some oracle or oracle(s) that are treated as authorities http://gendal.wordpress.com/2014/06/10/ 

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. i hereby demand a ham sandwich‏ @gasnerpants 13 Jun 2014
        Replying to @tjcsmyth

        @tjcsmyth @adikamdar Surely this stretches the notion of "trustless"

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. Thomas Smyth‏ @tjcsmyth 13 Jun 2014
        Replying to @gasnerpants

        @gasnerpants surely - interesting part of "decentralized" for actor like @Intrade is being beyond regs, not beyond Bloomberg ticker

        3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      6. i hereby demand a ham sandwich‏ @gasnerpants 13 Jun 2014
        Replying to @tjcsmyth

        @tjcsmyth @Intrade but attacks on the oracles are likely to be much easier than attacks on the blockchain

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      7. Thomas Smyth‏ @tjcsmyth 13 Jun 2014
        Replying to @gasnerpants

        @gasnerpants @intrade so question is: if I bet on Hillary, and she wins, but our source is NYT, how do I ensure that NYT is not hacked

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      8. Thomas Smyth‏ @tjcsmyth 13 Jun 2014
        Replying to @tjcsmyth

        @gasnerpants @intrade in this instance, what about multiple oracles, corroborating the info? so aggregate 100+ independent news outlets

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      9. i hereby demand a ham sandwich‏ @gasnerpants 13 Jun 2014
        Replying to @tjcsmyth

        @tjcsmyth @Intrade how do you think that will fare against a state actor

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      10. 2 more replies

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