Thomas Joscelyn

@thomasjoscelyn

Senior Fellow . Senior Editor . Picture is Tom Paine. Not a fan of self-licking ice cream cones, cliques or corruption.

New York
Vrijeme pridruživanja: srpanj 2010.

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  1. prije 2 sata

    Faris evaluated a number of plans, however, and provided AQ with other assistance.

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  2. prije 2 sata

    Iyman Faris, who worked for 9/11 planner Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, has been denaturalized. His plotting on behalf of al Qaeda included a bizarre plan to cut the cables of the Brooklyn Bridge.

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    Federal Government of Somalia, AFRICOM conduct airstrike against al-Shabaab terrorist --

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  4. . also concluded that Baghdadi's death wouldn't hurt the ability of to “maintain continuity of operations" or disrupt its "global cohesion." Just FYI.

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  5. Per this new report, assesses that following the death of Abu Bakr al Baghdadi " remained cohesive, with an intact command and control structure, urban clandestine networks, and an insurgent presence in much of rural Syria."

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    Chiefs OC Eric Bieniemy says he got this play design from watching this old Rose Bowl game. Michigan ran it over & over in a 49-0 win over USC

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  7. 3. velj

    . reports on the bizarre rumor that is “Anonymous.” Some are spreading this unfounded gossip for their own (idiotic) purposes.

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    Federal Government of Somalia, U.S. conduct airstrike against al-Shabaab terrorist

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    A man has been shot by armed officers in . At this stage it is believed a number of people have been stabbed. The circumstances are being assessed; the incident has been declared as terrorist-related. Please follow for updates

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  12. 1. velj

    An alleged former "leader of a group of Al-Qaeda terrorists in Al-Fallujah, Iraq" has been arrested in Phoenix, Arizona. The Iraqi government accuses him of murdering two policemen in Fallujah in 2006.

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  13. 1. velj

    There are several other known al Qaeda veterans in AQAP’s leadership hierarchy who could take over for Qassim al-Rimi, assuming he is dead. One prospective #1 for AQAP is Khalid Batarfi, an ideologue who in some ways has a higher profile than Rimi across AQ’s global network.

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    Iranian national charged with bank fraud and lying to federal agents in connection with a scheme to use the U.S. financial system to send more than $115 million to Iranian individuals and entities

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  15. 1. velj

    Qassim al-Rimi was/is an interesting figure for a number of reasons. He was both a pre-9/11 veteran of al-Qaeda and relatively young. According to some reporting, he was selected to serve as a trainer at AQ's Al-Farouq camp before 9/11, when he was still in his early 20s.

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  16. 1. velj

    Also, there's been uncertainty concerning the identity of 's new overall leader in the wake of Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi's death. Officials think they know who he is, as has been reported, but there has been uncertainty with something as basic as that.

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  17. 1. velj

    It is probably better to look at operational activity and other factors, rather than relying on estimated number of fighters. I'd treat estimated numbers as ballpark figures, at best, but sometimes not even as that.

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  18. 1. velj

    . and I have been tracking estimates offered for the number of fighters in Afghanistan for well more than a decade. There are still basic problems with the assessments offered. See this from 2016 -- as just one example:

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  19. 1. velj

    At the beginning of the U.S.-led anti-ISIS campaign in 2014, the CIA estimated that ISIS "can muster between 20,000 and 31,500 fighters across Iraq and Syria." The bottom of that range is close to the top of the range offered now - more than 5 years later.

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  20. 1. velj

    There are still major epistemological issues in underlying assessments of both and . Leadership hierarchies and chain-of-command are often obscured. For example, Osama bin Laden's active management role at the time of his death wasn't widely understood.

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