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thomas_wachtler's profile
Thomas Wachtler
Thomas Wachtler
Thomas Wachtler
@thomas_wachtler

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Thomas Wachtler

@thomas_wachtler

Emotionen gehören in Zwischenmenschliche Beziehungen, nicht in die Wissenschaft; Banken, Risikomanagement, Uni Innsbruck

Zams, Österreich
Joined August 2020

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK May 26

      Health Nerd Retweeted Nate Silver

      This is a bizarre take. The evidence has stayed precisely the same - natural origin very likely, lab leak thus far entirely unproven and a very low chance The rest is mostly misconceptions caused by reading only sensationalist headlineshttps://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1397160688284536842 …

      Health Nerd added,

      Nate SilverVerified account @NateSilver538
      Yeah, this is probably right. I wrote the other day how my priors had shifted from "natural origin slightly more likely" to "lab leak slightly more likely". But to me anyway, the evidence seems murky and inscrutable either way and I'm not sure it has *changed* that much. https://twitter.com/bendreyfuss/status/1396966383011913730 …
      Show this thread
      194 replies 373 retweets 2,378 likes
      Show this thread
      Thomas Wachtler‏ @thomas_wachtler May 27
      Replying to @GidMK

      This is not a health topic, this is a mathematical calculation of probability. And here I would trust mathematics, not health scientists. The conclusion of mathematics is quite different to yours, very high probability of lab leak, which is also very logical (from math point)

      12:09 AM - 27 May 2021
      • 30 Likes
      • James Deng (鄧敏達) 🌐🗽🏗 DirtDoll22 Kristen B - 🤔 econdave bdevil89 James M Freedom1st Johannes Neuberger
      17 replies 0 retweets 30 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Thomas Wachtler‏ @thomas_wachtler May 27
          Replying to @thomas_wachtler @GidMK

          But however the opinion from someone on this topic is- it is a shame, that other opinions have been cancelled for one year. No discussion allowed, unreal.pic.twitter.com/VazQfif6GH

          2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
        3. Dr. Benedicte Callan‏ @benedictecallan May 27
          Replying to @thomas_wachtler @GidMK

          You seem to be speaking. Tom Cotton spoke and he's a US Senator, Josh Rogan is a journalist at WaPo, Pompeo spoke and he was Sec of State. Trump spoke and he was President of the United States. The idea that the bioweapons/lab leak proponents have been cancelled is ridiculous.

          1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. elo is better than the beatles‏ @DKinMN May 27
          Replying to @thomas_wachtler @GidMK

          Word salad.

          0 replies 0 retweets 20 likes
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        1. Art Markham‏ @artmarkham May 27
          Replying to @thomas_wachtler @GidMK

          You can only apply the mathematics once you have decided on an awful lot of assumptions about the real world.

          0 replies 0 retweets 61 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. Paul Greenman‏ @sneakerspg May 27
          Replying to @thomas_wachtler @GidMK

          Um, a lab leak of what, exactly?

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. BetterProcessBetterResults‏ @process_better May 27
          Replying to @sneakerspg @thomas_wachtler @GidMK

          OF MATH!!!!

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation
        1. Jeff S‏ @jeff_skrentner May 27
          Replying to @thomas_wachtler @GidMK

          Please share then the source(s) that confirm the mathematical probability calculations of a lab leak vs. natural evolution of the virus.

          0 replies 0 retweets 11 likes
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        1. D-Dub‏ @DanDanNoodles7 May 27
          Replying to @thomas_wachtler @GidMK

          Well, as mathematicians would say: show your proof. If you have a "mathematical calculation" then SPELL IT OUT.

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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        1. Devo Dalek‏ @DevoDalek May 27
          Replying to @thomas_wachtler @GidMK

          "Math" IN ONE TWEET: 4. MEANING: 0

          0 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
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        1. Greg Shelley‏ @Ashamanic May 27
          Replying to @thomas_wachtler @GidMK

          Did they publish this analysis anywhere?

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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