With car sharing, riders care more about price and availability than which car they get. And once these personal preferences no longer matter, leasing companies will optimize for total cost of ownership. Expect cars which are easier to maintain, clean, and repair.
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A healthy marketplace will have several sharing platforms and several fleet owners compete for the rider’s business.
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All of this will be a quadruple hit to the fancy car manufacturers of this world: (1) From gasoline to electric wipes out the engine and drive train competences. (2) From manual-driving to self-driving replaces mechanical expertise with software knowledge. […]
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[…] (3) From status objects to shared vehicles removes the brand advantage. (4) From personal ownership to shared fleets undoes the dealer sales network. This pretty much just leaves them with their manufacturing capability (which we shouldn’t underestimate).
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Let’s pause for a moment and recap what we have so far: (1) People want cheaper, faster, and safer transport. (2) Self-driving, electric cars will outperform manual gasoline ones. […]
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[…] (3) Sharing a self-driving car will be cheaper than owning one. (4) Leasing companies will own car fleets which will be available through sharing platforms. (5) It’s unlikely existing car brands will win the market in this new world.
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Now that we have self-driving cars, what else will change? For one, the roads will be different. Once all cars are self-driving, we don’t need road signage or markings anymore. Traffic lights will be a thing of the past. Good digital maps are how self-driving cars navigate.pic.twitter.com/DnzbAhx7c5
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Replying to @thijsniks
This particular GIF shows why road signage and markings are needed in the future as well, with the exception of proprietary "autoauto" roads.
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Replying to @kestinen
Yep, signage can only really go away once a road is fully self-driving.
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Replying to @thijsniks
Or: the markings and signs within cities will mostly vanish too, when autonomous automobiles always yield walking and bike riding people and thus they don't need to be afraid of motorized traffic anymore.
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I suspect physical separation of bicycle and car infrastructure will continue to happen, though less because it is safer and more to speed up the self-driving traffic.pic.twitter.com/SQKl794JcC
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