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Thijs Niks
Thijs Niks
Thijs Niks
@thijsniks

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Thijs Niks

@thijsniks

Product Manager for ☎️ at @WhatsApp / ❤️ retweets

San Francisco, CA
thijs.niks.nu
Joined February 2009

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    1. Thijs Niks‏ @thijsniks 30 Dec 2017

      Picture container depots at city edges and self-driving trucks shuttling between them. An extension of what’s already happening in ports.pic.twitter.com/RIXY8Mj6We

      1 reply 1 retweet 7 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Thijs Niks‏ @thijsniks 30 Dec 2017

      Over time, cars will be able to navigate the more complicated inner cities with their pedestrians, bikes, and other traffic. This is where things will get really interesting.

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Thijs Niks‏ @thijsniks 30 Dec 2017

      For one, more people will start using cars for trips than ever before, as the price will be low compared to other transport modes. We will run headlong into the Jevons paradox of improved efficiency causing usage increase. (Which makes the above $900b investment conservative)pic.twitter.com/cYY7MynviU

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
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    4. Thijs Niks‏ @thijsniks 30 Dec 2017

      A big turning point will be once self-driving cars are cheaper than mass rail transport (tram, metro, train). The average per mile cost in the UK is £0.31 for cars vs £0.16 for trains now, so we need a 50% drop.

      2 replies 1 retweet 6 likes
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    5. Thijs Niks‏ @thijsniks 30 Dec 2017

      In the Netherlands, 10% of commuters take public transport and 50% go by car. In the United Kingdom, 15% go by train/bus and 70% by car. Roads will have to support 20% more cars if everyone would switch.pic.twitter.com/L5bi0iiRQG

      2 replies 1 retweet 5 likes
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    6. Mark Vletter  📲‏ @MarkV 30 Dec 2017
      Replying to @thijsniks

      Netherlands also has more bikes then people. 60% of primary transportation is by bike in a city like Groningen. Bikes are also going electric which means bigger distances faster.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    7. Thijs Niks‏ @thijsniks 31 Dec 2017
      Replying to @MarkV

      Thijs Niks Retweeted Thijs Niks

      Agreed. There is a scenario where electric bikes become the dominant form of transport in some cities. I pretty much expect rail transport to be replaced by a combination of electric bikes and carshttps://twitter.com/thijsniks/status/947115077169184769 …

      Thijs Niks added,

      Thijs Niks @thijsniks
      It’s also possible that electric bikes will ride the wave of technology improvements and become the commuting modality of choice, before electric cars get to do it.
      Show this thread
      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    8. Jim Hodapp‏ @jhodapp 2 Jan 2018
      Replying to @thijsniks @MarkV

      The forms that fall in this category today: walking and biking

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    9. Thijs Niks‏ @thijsniks 2 Jan 2018
      Replying to @jhodapp @MarkV

      Yep. I see (technological/infrastructural) innovations in the biking industry that could lead to different usage. However, I'm not sure what that would look like for walking. Any thoughts?

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    10. Jim Hodapp‏ @jhodapp 2 Jan 2018
      Replying to @thijsniks @MarkV

      I think continuing to have land use still geared towards walking first. I think the technological component that can revolutionize walking is to get cars off of the streets of the most walkable of places.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Thijs Niks‏ @thijsniks 2 Jan 2018
      Replying to @jhodapp @MarkV

      Thijs Niks Retweeted Thijs Niks

      I would love that and do think it would increase the percentage of people who walk. Not sure if we can get from the current ~10% to double or triple that though, as there are hard limits on how many people can live near their work.https://twitter.com/ThijsNiks/status/947113987522596864 …

      Thijs Niks added,

      Thijs Niks @thijsniks
      The transport of choice for commuting changes dramatically if you look at cities instead of countries. In New York City, 60% go by public transport and 30% by car. In London, 50% take public transport and 30% go by car. pic.twitter.com/nq9BdZhnDo
      Show this thread
      7:42 AM - 2 Jan 2018
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. Jim Hodapp‏ @jhodapp 2 Jan 2018
          Replying to @thijsniks @MarkV

          Agreed, it’s a complex problem with our present work patterns, but these are changing.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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