What will road transport look like in the future? A speculative thread of personal thoughts. Hint: The opposite of this picture.pic.twitter.com/PggWKDrF8m
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I do agree that the city case is the real litmus test and I have good hopes it will get more efficient there too. If only because a level 5 car will know when traffic lights activate and adjust for it.
Digital roads will help in ensuring accurate road pricing, which would make a lot of sense across all car usage including sharing platformshttps://medium.com/uber-under-the-hood/road-pricing-a-solution-to-gridlock-b093b3f364f2 …
My expectation: 1. Marginal improvement of efficiency of city roadways 2. Elimination of curbside parking. In cities, that gets fully replaced by deliveries (Amazon) and rideshare PU/DO. No gain for rider throughput 3. Parking is obsolete. Replaced with workplaces & housing.
4. Cities densify, become more efficient 5. ALL efficiency gains will be utilized to support this: rideshare, bikes & bikeshare, walking and housing near workplaces, transit 6. Whatever cities do this best will have most capacity for more jobs 7. There is no single silver bullet
Agreed there are no silver bullets. I’m excited about an electric bikes/self-driving car future though. Expect it will replace the bus use case and will be competitive with much of tram/metro in most cities.
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