The majority of public transport needs will be covered by car sharing platforms. Though there will still be a role for governments to incentivize coverage in low utilization/high-cost areas (i.e., rural).
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There are obviously (potential) flaws in this scenario. For one, the shared fleets need to be 99.9999% reliable for people to actually give up their cars.
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Another potential flaw is that battery technology improvements won’t keep pace with what we need. Or computers might not get to the point where they can truly react safely to all forms of traffic.
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It’s also possible that electric bikes will ride the wave of technology improvements and become the commuting modality of choice, before electric cars get to do it.
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Nice to see that this transport thread reached more people than I expected. 70k saw it, 5500 started reading, 4000 made it till Twitter’s thread loader (70%), and 1500 read the whole thing (25%).pic.twitter.com/exdVIsWAGr
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Someone tipped me the
@EconTalker podcast with@BenedictEvans http://www.econtalk.org/archives/2017/08/benedict_evans.html … which builds on his article https://www.ben-evans.com/benedictevans/2017/3/20/cars-and-second-order-consequences … and covers many of the same self-driving vehicle issuesShow this thread -
Bonus: How United States road maps were kept up to date in the 1940shttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XHc6J1zKivk …
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We are getting closer to a future of self-driving cars optimized for public sharing, as I laid out in the thread abovehttps://twitter.com/cruise/status/1219789539373268992 …
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End of conversation
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