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thijsniks's profile
Thijs Niks
Thijs Niks
Thijs Niks
@thijsniks

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Thijs Niks

@thijsniks

Product Manager for ☎️ at @WhatsApp / ❤️ retweets

San Francisco, CA
thijs.niks.nu
Joined February 2009

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    1. CoronawatchNL‏ @CoronawatchNL 28 Apr 2020

      A) We weten de precieze R0 niet, waardoor groepsimmuniteit theoretisch (!) mogelijk ook pas bereikt wordt bij >60% besmetting en B) immuniteit na doormaken infectie is nog geen bewijs voor. Ik word er langzamerhand verdrietig van.pic.twitter.com/8Ftvny1dir

      10 replies 10 retweets 29 likes
    2. Thijs Niks‏ @thijsniks 28 Apr 2020
      Replying to @CoronawatchNL

      Thijs Niks Retweeted Carl T. Bergstrom

      Plus nog onduidelijk wat voor overshoot we zullen hebbenhttps://twitter.com/ct_bergstrom/status/1252008428542681088 …

      Thijs Niks added,

      Carl T. BergstromVerified account @CT_Bergstrom
      14. If the epidemic stopped once we reached the herd immunity threshold, the turquoise curve would top out at the dashed line, with 60% of the population having been infected. That would be bad enough. But it keeps going. Those extra infections are what we call "overshoot." pic.twitter.com/Yexq8jVK5Z
      Show this thread
      1 reply 1 retweet 3 likes
    3. CoronawatchNL‏ @CoronawatchNL 28 Apr 2020
      Replying to @thijsniks

      Had ik nog niet eens aan gedacht, bedankt Thijs. Ik vind die overshoot nog een best pittig aandeel potentieel...

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      Thijs Niks‏ @thijsniks 28 Apr 2020
      Replying to @CoronawatchNL

      Met 60% groepsimmuniteit kan de overshoot nog een extra 30% zijn, dus tot 90% van de totale bevolking

      8:47 AM - 28 Apr 2020
      • 5 Likes
      • Quantum🎗️ Laura McCall #NoMassInfection Mr Blok #VoorWeinigCovid joost witteveen 🇪🇺 CoronawatchNL
      3 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. CoronawatchNL‏ @CoronawatchNL 28 Apr 2020
          Replying to @thijsniks

          Ik zie het ja. Richting fractie 0.9. Ik vind het bijzonder schokkend en maak mij bij verspreiding van het virus zorgen om mutaties. Gaan we dan bij een mortaliteit van 10% igv mutatie ook voor gecontroleerde verspreiding?

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Thijs Niks‏ @thijsniks 28 Apr 2020
          Replying to @CoronawatchNL

          10% is erg hoog, maar ik heb werkelijk geen idee hoe het RIVM denkt over dat soort scenario’s. Het zou fijn zijn als we meer inzicht in de overwegingen krijgen.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Show replies
        1. Mr Blok #VoorWeinigCovid‏ @MisterBlok 28 Apr 2020
          Replying to @thijsniks

          We wonen in een petrischaal en als alles mis gaat kijken we tegen 300.000 doden, -20% depressie en jarenlang uitreisverbod aan. Als alles goed gaat, nog steeds veel slechtere uitkomsten dan indammende landen.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. Sabje #AlleHandenSamen #VoorWeinigCovid‏ @Sabje1979 28 Apr 2020
          Replying to @thijsniks

          Nou, dan ga ik mijn kist maar vast bestellen... Zag dat de ikea ze in de aanbieding heeft.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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