Met de huidige groei, loopt Nederland 5 dagen achter op Frankrijk en 11 dagen op Italië. In Italië verwachten ze over 2 weken geen ziekenhuisbedden meer te hebben.https://twitter.com/ThijsNiks/status/1236846967583420416 …
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Thijs Niks Retweeted Thijs Niks
Met de huidige groei, loopt Nederland 5 dagen achter op Frankrijk en 11 dagen op Italië. In Italië verwachten ze over 2 weken geen ziekenhuisbedden meer te hebben.https://twitter.com/ThijsNiks/status/1236846967583420416 …
Thijs Niks added,
Voorspelling: Aan einde van deze week (15 maart) heeft Nederland ~1000 bevestigde coronavirus besmettingen. De week daarna (22 maart) zal het ~3500 zijn.
Italiaanse arts: ‘Het is bijna een oorlogssituatie’https://nos.nl/video/2326413-italiaanse-arts-het-is-bijna-een-oorlogssituatie.html …
Thijs Niks Retweeted Thijs Niks
Thijs Niks added,
Het begint — de ziekenhuizen raken vol https://nos.nl/artikel/2327776-brabantse-ziekenhuizen-we-gaan-plat-en-hebben-hulp-nodig.html … Het was exact 2 weken geleden dat Rutte zei dat we handen blijven schudden… http://www.npostart.nl/nos-journaal/06-03-2020/POW_04508278 … (5m45s)pic.twitter.com/6NWIk96GAa
Jan Kluytmans zegt in Nieuwsuur dat hij verwacht aan het einde van de maand tot 1.000 intensive care bedden in *Brabant* nodig te hebben https://www.npostart.nl/nieuwsuur/20-03-2020/VPWON_1310743 … (3m20s) Er liggen nu 281 patiënten op de IC en heel Nederland heeft normaal een capaciteit van ~1100pic.twitter.com/XEbXHNmLCm
Ik zat er een dag naast. Al zou dit natuurlijk eigenlijk al 13.000 zijn als Nederland genoeg zou testen https://twitter.com/thijsniks/status/1236936405097410560 …pic.twitter.com/CKdBmjaq5M
So far your predictions were spot on. Curious if the (very soft) measures that Dutch gvt it taking are going to have any effect within next 2 weeks...
There will be some effect, but it’s really hard to tell whether it’s enough to drop the reproduction factor below 1. We are going to be fucked if it’s 1,1 but looks to people it slowed and therefore they think it’s safe again to go out
Another thing I was thinking about - it's just a matter of chance that COVID-19 has got a "low" mortality rate. Imagine 30%. Humanity is so fragile when it comes to diseases. I was under the (false) impression that our species are so advanced - hospitals, vaccines, scientists...
Oh yeah, though just a high mortality rate wouldn’t be that scary. MERS, for example, was very deadly.
The killer would be short incubation, strong asymptotic infection, long sickbed, and high mortality
We are very fragilepic.twitter.com/NZNFwFC1Um
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