Disclosure: I'm in no way an expert in this field. Just after reading what experts shared with the world, this makes the most sense of what I’ve read so far. It is science and we can still be right and/or wrong.
We should do the following in NL

-
Show this thread
-
1. Lock everybody down and do our best effort to stop the spreading and do it today! Every day we argue this, we lose time. You know the chess board with rice? Exponential growth is killing us, literally. Herd immunity risks a lot of people, it's not drastic enough in this phase.pic.twitter.com/aJlt9THjC0
1 reply 1 retweet 3 likesShow this thread -
2. Keep everybody locked down for 1 month (or as long as needed). This to let the infected people overcome
#COVID19 and get better. Today we have a pseudo-lockdown in NL, so it's another minor step to do this. The effect will be like the chess board, but in reverse.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likesShow this thread -
3. The (economical) impact would be huge, but the impact is already enormous. It's hard to swallow but we should. Governments will do their utmost best to support business and households. We are in this together. Accept this is a life changing era.
1 reply 0 retweets 1 likeShow this thread -
4. We still have to deal with the huge amount of infected people and ill people on ICU's. Today it would still be within the margins of what our system can handle, so we are on time. We should give hospitals all equipment needed for their own protection. They are crucial for us.
1 reply 0 retweets 2 likesShow this thread -
5. After the lockdown, when new infections have slowed down, life can slowly come back to normal. Movement is only allowed within geographically borders and will increase over time when
#covid19Nederland is under control. This also allows for relaxation of interventions.1 reply 0 retweets 3 likesShow this thread -
6. In the mean time we have to dramatically increase testing facilities so we can keep the testing as fast as possible and do contact tracing. Testing, tracing, testing. And more testing.
2 replies 0 retweets 0 likesShow this thread -
7. When people get infected after the lockdown put them—and the people they have had direct contact with—in quarantine and immediately test them. Keep doing this until a vaccine is developed.
1 reply 0 retweets 1 likeShow this thread -
This is some good material to read: https://necsi.edu/review-of-ferguson-et-al-impact-of-non-pharmaceutical-interventions … https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf … https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/world/corona-simulator/ … https://www.ted.com/talks/bill_gates_the_next_outbreak_we_re_not_ready?language=en …
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likesShow this thread -
How do you feel about this?
@Reinier@jelleprins@ThijsNiks@rickpastoor@jaspervankuijk@jelmerdeboer@JoshSchoen@jaapstronks4 replies 0 retweets 2 likesShow this thread
Yes, exactly this. With the exception that the Netherlands is too late already for keeping it within healthcare capacity, which should be an extra reason to lockdown now to prevent even more deaths
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.
at
retweets