China seems to think it can keep growing by going colonial, replacing ties with the west with Africa and "BRICS". I guess they do really believe the Leninist idea about the west becoming rich through colonial exploitation.https://twitter.com/niubi/status/1027683386268286980 …
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Which is lunacy. Growth comes from trading with rich nations. Poor nations are poor and don't have spending ability. Which is why western powers ended up moving troops to enforce their claims. China can't do that and will get fleeced. Ah, Marxists.
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Replying to @thespandrell
The West isn't going to shut China out. There's too much money to be made. China's 'threat' to the West is a long-term issue, like 50 years long-term, whereas China's market remains the biggest opportunity in the world, by far, even with the constraints on foreign entry.
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Replying to @mr_scientism @thespandrell
Imagine you're the guy who has to keep Americans interested in the 'China threat', which is decades from being able to actually directly threaten the US (rather than nebulous 'US interests') when everyone could be making billions of dollars if you were just removed from your job.
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Replying to @mr_scientism @thespandrell
"Come on guys, we have an important duty to defend Thailand and the Philippines from joint exploration contracts in the South China Sea, you're just going to have to stop selling Buicks to the 1 billion non-Americans we found who inexplicably want them."
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Replying to @mr_scientism
Thailand has no claims in the SCS, and Chinese territorial claims are ludicrous. Come on.
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Replying to @thespandrell
My point is the issue is esoteric and far away, Americans don't care about it. It's unlikely to lead to conflict because SE Asians aren't suicidal. It's hard to keep people worried about a 'threat' that has no material consequences for them.
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Well yeah, but the military industrial complex is a mighty thing, and ludicrous territorial claims are not a good tactic to disable it.
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