Crime isn’t at a 20-year high, but concern about it is. Partly prospect theory (getting worse/better matters, not just overall level), and part reminds me that the US murder rate was higher in the 1980s but people thought it was higher in the ‘90s. In the ‘90s, more murder on TV.https://twitter.com/ABC/status/1410904505340895233 …
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Public perception of crime and actual data on crime often don’t correlate. These graphs run 1993-2016. You can see the actual drop in crime reflected in perception at first, but then perceived crime rose as actual violent crime kept declining. Most likely explanation is media.pic.twitter.com/awCwS5gY3i
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Replying to @NGrossman81 @chesaboudin
Haha, "crime is decreased by decriminalization" Genius Now show the non violent crime rate...
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Did they decriminalize murder or rape? This is about violent crime . . .
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Is it? Then why do the data sets of the graphs state "crime" and "violent crime" contradictorily? Why did he use the word "often" and why use 2016 data rather than current event data which is that crime (not just violent crime) is rising recently in face of decriminalization?
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Replying to @CyberneticSeman @thebluemagoo99 and
If you care to read the article from which this graph was taken, you'll see that the author twice references a drop in property crime.https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/11/16/voters-perceptions-of-crime-continue-to-conflict-with-reality/ …
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Replying to @thomas_o_bedlam @CyberneticSeman and
And, while you seem keen to close-read the tweet into oblivion, you ignore the fact that it the type of crime sensationalized by the media, obviously, is violent crime. Thereby causing a public perception of increased crime, violent or otherwise.
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Thank you for breaking it down further.
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