Shootings are up, burglary is up, car breakins remain at a very high level. All that is true. But the claim that violent crime is up from before 2019 is not supportable by the evidence.
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Replying to @the_watcher @melG679 and
And COVID kind of makes all comparisons suspect anyway. San Francisco sent Boudin to the DA’s office to try a new method of criminal justice. He has not had that chance.
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Replying to @melG679 @the_watcher and
And I’m going to delete the tweet and retweet to correct it bc there is no edit feature, but I find your response to undermine any pretense that your purpose is to have an intelligent conversation.
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Thank you for the correction. I was really confused for a moment. You seem like an intelligent person.
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Replying to @the_watcher @melG679 and
If you want I can do a statistical analysis of the variance in murder rate to see if the difference between now and last year was noise or if it passes the significance test.
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Replying to @the_watcher @vjon and
I think you should do the analysis, but for a lot of people, myself included, an increase in someone intentionally being killed is a big deal. Esp in city that is reform oriented, views are pretty homogenous, and is 7 by 11.
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Replying to @melG679 @the_watcher and
I also would note after George who was pseudo progressive in sf, the citizens of sf actually voted for the more traditional da candidates. If Leif, Nancy, or Suzy hadn’t run, Chesa wouldn’t be DA. But 3 candidates w the same views took votes from each other.
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It is not reasonable to expect a significant decline from a record low. Especially when there is some kind of National trend pushing us in the other direction. Not a great emotional argument, I know.
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parent, ex-paratrooper, YIMBY. Leftist not Progressive. Overly Pedantic. "When facts change, I change my mind, What do you do?" -John Keynes 