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the_watcher's profile
TheWatcher
TheWatcher
TheWatcher
@the_watcher

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TheWatcher

@the_watcher

SF 🏳️‍🌈 parent, ex-paratrooper, YIMBY. Leftist not Progressive. Overly Pedantic. "When facts change, I change my mind, What do you do?" -John Keynes 🐈‍⬛

San Francisco
Joined January 2021

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    1. TheWatcher‏ @the_watcher Sep 13
      Replying to @melG679 @vjon and

      Fair enough, you aren't the one claiming that crime is generally increasing in San Francisco. You do try to question the validity of the FBI UCR reports, which are really the gold standard of crime reporting in the US. The government makes decisions around funding based on them.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    2. TheWatcher‏ @the_watcher Sep 13
      Replying to @the_watcher @melG679 and

      If you don't like the facts presented by the SFPD and FBI then you need to show ones that you think are more accurate and explain why you think so.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    3. TheWatcher‏ @the_watcher Sep 13
      Replying to @the_watcher @melG679 and

      The fact that crime was higher 50, 40, 30, 20 and 10 years ago is really indisputable, though many try to make the claim that crime is higher today. It is probably a well-known cognitive bias, reinforced by too much time on Nextdoor, Citizen App and Twitter.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    4. mel G‏ @melG679 Sep 14
      Replying to @the_watcher @vjon and

      Homicide and violent crime has increased. Gun violence has increased. Theft has increased. Those are supported by the stats you’re so focused on. George and Chesa have decriminalized a lot of crimes too, which play into other areas where crime has allegedly “decreased.”

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. TheWatcher‏ @the_watcher Sep 14
      Replying to @melG679 @vjon and

      Homicide has been on a 50 year decline. You refuse to acknowledge that fact, even though I have presented overwhelming evidence of it. Homicide has increased slightly this last 18 months from a record low in 2019. It is still lower than 5 years ago.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    6. TheWatcher‏ @the_watcher Sep 14
      Replying to @the_watcher @melG679 and

      Violent crime shows a similar trajectory, according to the SFPD website. Violent crime overall is down this year, according to the same source.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    7. TheWatcher‏ @the_watcher Sep 14
      Replying to @the_watcher @melG679 and

      https://www.sanfranciscopolice.org/stay-safe/crime-data/crime-dashboard … Total crime is up an infinitesimal 1.5% YoY and down from 2019/

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    8. TheWatcher‏ @the_watcher Sep 14
      Replying to @the_watcher @melG679 and

      Murder rate from 2000 to 2019pic.twitter.com/HVSZkVrJh5

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    9. TheWatcher‏ @the_watcher Sep 14
      Replying to @the_watcher @melG679 and

      An slight uptick from a 59 year low.pic.twitter.com/ocfCtkxdfF

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    10. TheWatcher‏ @the_watcher Sep 14
      Replying to @the_watcher @melG679 and

      More to the point, gun violence and homicide is up nationwide. It is up less in San Francisco than the rest of the country. I don't think Boudin should get credit for that, but by your reasoning he should!

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      TheWatcher‏ @the_watcher Sep 14
      Replying to @the_watcher @melG679 and

      Homicide in the 25 largest cities in the US is up 33%, but up 15% in SF.https://wallethub.com/edu/cities-homicide-rate/94070 …

      3:30 PM - 14 Sep 2021
      • 1 Like
      • Paul
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like

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