this morning. Power and control animated by sexism, misogyny, racism. Things you know and then continue to see in the numbers. How is this 2023. Good grief.
19) BTW: anti-abortion respondents are more likely to think a male partner knows that abortion is “ending a life or a potential life” (55%) than the woman having an abortion (38%)
18) And it's sexist views and false stereotypes that are the best predictors of abortion views - not religiosity, gender, education, party ID, ideology, etc.
17) But her belief is not about reality - most people who have abortions are at or near poverty, have already have a child, and cite responsibility to care for others and not being able to afford a child as reasons for an abortion. This is about sexism and false stereotypes:
14) Pause a minute there. Half the public thinks there are many women who, at say 39 weeks of pregnancy carrying around an 8 pound baby, decide to have an elective abortion out of irresponsibility. I doubt this scenario applies to a single person on the PLANET, let alone "many"
13) Here's one of the most stunning findings. I'll track this question for a long time. Agree or disagree: "There are many irresponsible women who will decide to have an abortion up until the moment of birth."
11) There are some gender differences within and across racial/ethnic groups. Black women hold the most egalitarian views; white men least. Exception: gender identity.
9) Big gulfs on the intersection of race and gender. This is one area we've seen recent shifts among Democrats - higher %s disagreeing that women of color have equal opportunities as white women
2) These five items are the most consistent predictors of opinion across 34 different policy issues. In other words, views toward a changing America are central drivers of opinion.
1) Context: The best predictors of vote choice relate to views about race and gender. This is from a survey we did with 538 and YouGov predicting vote in the midterm (btw: post-election polling validates)
🚨 Top results from our new study: Drivers of public opinion - gender edition. Why have women lost their reproductive rights after 50 years? Here's why.
Full report: https://tinyurl.com/3x3hvn97
Lawmakers are launching the Congressional Dads Caucus this morning.
@JimmyGomezCA, who brought his baby to the floor during the Speaker’s race, kicks off the press conference.
We've seen evidence in our data of Latinos becoming more prochoice than white voters for the first time. For years, Latino and white voters mirrored each other. Almost a 19pt difference in exit poll👇. Take exits with big grain of salt, but something to add to other data
This is so sad and problematic for democracy. Not one article about what the election means for policy or voters. Instead? Partisan strategy. Voters absolutely hate it.
There are a number of reasons why the pundit class underestimated the effects of Dobbs, but a fairly obvious one is that the pundit class skews male, white, older and is least likely appreciate the significance of the issue bc they're the most personally removed from it.