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tbonier's profile
Tom Bonier
Tom Bonier
Tom Bonier
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@tbonier

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Tom BonierVerified account

@tbonier

CEO @TargetSmart, adjunct lecturer @HowardU, cofounder @claritycampaign, former COO @ncec1948, member @SEIULocal500. I get it, my last name makes you laugh.

Washington, DC
targetsmart.com
Joined March 2009

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    Tom Bonier‏Verified account @tbonier 25 Nov 2020

    Tom Bonier Retweeted The New Republic

    Please, never, ever use exit polls to characterize turnout. They are built on the pollster's assumption of turnout. In 6 of 6 states with full vote history the youth vote surged by more than the state average. And in all 6 states the exit polls misgauged turnout by age.https://twitter.com/newrepublic/status/1331619391767719936 …

    Tom Bonier added,

    The New RepublicVerified account @newrepublic
    New election data shows that the elderly dominated turnout like never before—more than offsetting a surge in the youth vote. https://bit.ly/364STzB 
    8:27 AM - 25 Nov 2020
    • 36 Retweets
    • 144 Likes
    • Barry Nancy Koziol Kevin Waters Fran Williams Michael Mandel hollysbirds Goodman 🇺🇸 kim sheram Sarah Audelo
    4 replies 36 retweets 144 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Tom Bonier‏Verified account @tbonier 25 Nov 2020

        If they wanted to tell the real story here, it seems clear that both the youth (<30) and senior (>65) vote surged, while middle-aged voters accounted for a smaller share of the electorate, not keeping up with the Boomer/Zoomers (credit to @dellavolpe for the catchy name).

        1 reply 6 retweets 35 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Tom Bonier‏Verified account @tbonier 25 Nov 2020

        Take Georgia - voters under the age of 30 increased their total turnout by 30% over 2016, while voters over the age of 65 surged by 24%. Both were well above the statewide surge of 15%, but the youth surge was bigger.

        3 replies 3 retweets 32 likes
        Show this thread
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Ben Wessel‏Verified account @BenWessel 25 Nov 2020
        Replying to @tbonier

        Ben Wessel Retweeted Ben Wessel

        Also the article is just wrong. Uses wrong numbers from Exit Poll...https://twitter.com/benwessel/status/1331633158295437313?s=21 …

        Ben Wessel added,

        Ben WesselVerified account @BenWessel
        Hey @TimothyNoah1, the #youthvote (18-29yo) was 17% of all voters this year according to Edison Exit Polls (via NYT), AP VoteCast, and CIRCLE. Up about the same ~1.5% as seniors. So kinda feels like the whole premise of the bit here is...not right. https://twitter.com/newrepublic/status/1331619391767719936 … pic.twitter.com/2auHsc02Sy
        Show this thread
        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
      3. Tom Bonier‏Verified account @tbonier 25 Nov 2020
        Replying to @BenWessel

        Yikes. This is one of those pieces that can't be corrected, it just needs to be deleted.

        0 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Janine‏ @j_pineo 25 Nov 2020
        Replying to @tbonier

        Tl;dr Why do they do this? And why not an examination of exit polls (in this case probably skewing toward older voters who tend to go to the physical poll site) vs. actual vote demographics? And then show how accurate or inaccurate exit polls are? 😬

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. President Biden & VP Harris Will Save America!‏ @Proud2020D 26 Nov 2020
        Replying to @tbonier

        pic.twitter.com/s7AwFnutOI

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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