26,538,361 Americans who did not participate in the 2016 election have already early voted in this election. 8,912,279 of these voters had never voted before this election.
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47% of these surge voters are under the age of 40 (29% under the age of 30). That's a 3 point share improvement for younger voters upon the 2018 blue wave youth share of surge voters.
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Ya, really big.
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That can’t be good for Trump or for downballot R’s. Maybe instead of D turnout we should be focusing on NPA. These folks are hard to poll and hard to model.
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Yes they are. Before Comey Hillary was up by 11 with independents in FL. After Trump was +1. But was that 11 real? Tough to say. Averages of all polling says Biden has about a 5-8 point lead with independents it appears nationwide.
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Just curious but what was the surge of non-2012 voters in 2016 or new voters in 2016?
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And everyone said Bernie didn't have any impact on the youth!
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My guess is that all of this will showcase itself in North Carolina. So many young people moving into the state who don’t like party labels.
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tom- something to note- first time voters are also MUCH more likely to vote in person! Many of them want to experience the actual voting process if possible, as its their first! ESPECIALLY amongst the YOUTH - no one is talking about this!
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