many of these are Not Ds or Rs right? Which why dem voter lead is smaller than '12?
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I believe so. (Though that alone wouldn't explain why the *raw* vote differential is smaller since new voters.)
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those aren't different options on census forms, it's "white Hispanic" or "white non Hispanic" - there's just more.
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So why did
@NateSilver538 change FL to lean Trump today? -
Nate only looks at 3rd party polls not early voting numbers.
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right and I'd like to believe him.. and hope he is right..but he also has a bias :)
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current projections have Clinton winning significantly more Latino vote than Obama 4 years ago.
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Meanwhile,
@FiveThirtyEight predicts this. Must be off. http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/florida/#plus …pic.twitter.com/PeY7oHk3Ci
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they described the discrepancy in written form saying they don't adjust for early/absentee voters.
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