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Simon Wardley
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Simon Wardley

@swardley

I like ducks, they're fowl but not through choice. Corporate cartographer, chaotic evil, destroyer of undeserved value. RT ≠ +1

Burmarsh, Kent, UK
medium.com/wardleymaps/on…
Vrijeme pridruživanja: rujan 2007.

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    Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
    • Prijavi Tweet

    X : You described open as a weapon, is that true? Me : Yes, open approaches can be used to deliberately change markets in certain directions. It's an extremely powerful system if used correctly. X : Correctly? Me : Yes.

    08:11 - 5. sij 2020.
    • 30 proslijeđenih tweetova
    • 84 oznake „sviđa mi se”
    • science2go Keith Williams Reggie zahedab @ #FOSDEM Tomasz Tarczynski 2💀2💀 Fred G Øivind Michael Molnes Hoem David Paredes
    30 proslijeđenih tweetova 84 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
      1. Novi razgovor
      2. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        X : Details? Me : Ok. Many think that by opening something up you will get free resources to work on your stuff. X : Does that happen? Me : No. That's just blathering execs going "open" probably because they read it in some equally mindless HBR / McKinsey / Biz school report.

        1 reply 5 proslijeđenih tweetova 15 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      3. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        Me : To effectively use open then you have to have reason (open by thinking), investment (resources and time) and passion (a true desire to make it happen and to lead others). The throw it out there, create a foundation and magic will happen is fairly delusional.

        1 reply 6 proslijeđenih tweetova 20 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      4. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        X : Lead others? Me : Yes. Not in a bark commands sort of way but more opening doors for others to walk through. You have to manufacture conditions and constraints for the project to succeed. X : And will it? Me : Nothing is certain except you'll burn a lot of energy doing it.

        1 reply 1 proslijeđeni tweet 16 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      5. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        X : So, lots of effort, lots of uncertainty but possibly a major effect? Me : Lots of frustration as well and it won't happen quickly if it is going to be sustainable. But on the upside, you'll often meet truly wonderful people in your journey.

        1 reply 0 proslijeđenih tweetova 8 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      6. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        ... of course, there's another simpler path. There always is. X : Which is? Me : Use it as a marketing tool, throw money at saying you're being open, hold a few big parties etc. X : Does that work? Me : As marketing? Sure. As a way of building a sustainable community? Lol.

        1 reply 2 proslijeđena tweeta 11 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      7. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        X : Thoughts on OpenStack? Me : Ha, I wondered how long it would take someone to ask. Gosh, even SUSE is closing down its efforts - https://techcrunch.com/2019/10/09/suses-openstack-cloud-dissipates/ … ... look, there was a reason I called it a dead duck all those years ago. Bad choices were made and are still being made.

        1 reply 0 proslijeđenih tweetova 11 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      8. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        X : Bad choices? Me : Unforced strategic errors. It's like today where the whole battle for the future is around serverless (has been for six years and it is almost over) and people are still trying to fight a battle around containers and container management.

        1 reply 6 proslijeđenih tweetova 21 korisnik označava da mu se sviđa
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      9. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        ... I'll just go back to that open by thinking, the reason why you are opening something. If you don't understand the landscape then you are just shooting in the dark and basically praying to hit it lucky. X : The future is kubernetes. Me : Whatever. Talk to me in a decade.

        1 reply 5 proslijeđenih tweetova 16 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      10. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        X : You seem to be saying that Amazon will just own it all? Me : No. There is another path. If you want to see how the ideas behind openstack & kubernetes will combine with serverless to win back the future ... then you will need to go somewhere that plays long term. Try China.

        1 reply 0 proslijeđenih tweetova 6 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      11. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        X : Why not in the US? Me : Most US tech giants (past tense) have already shown they lack even basic situational awareness and hence were caught out by highly predictable changes (i.e. cloud). Even fewer show any of the long term gameplay needed to reverse that position ...

        1 reply 2 proslijeđena tweeta 8 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      12. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        ... most common sort of response is the Oracle approach of appearing after the war is finished to declare you're going to win the war (which is already over) with some paltry amount of future investment. It's farcical. You need longer term strategic players. Think China, not US.

        1 reply 0 proslijeđenih tweetova 12 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      13. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        X : What about Amazon? Me : Amazon is exceptional in terms of a US company that exhibits good situational awareness and long term thinking. If anyone is going to keep the US in a future tech race, it's Amazon. Assuming US doesn't force it to be split up for being too successful.

        1 reply 3 proslijeđena tweeta 13 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      14. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        ... so from a US national perspective, you would want to see Amazon succeed even more and for Amazon to go down a more open path i.e. to lead that future - which by the way it is starting to do. The challenge will come from China and open source will be used in its plays.

        2 proslijeđena tweeta 6 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      15. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        ... the mantra of a bunch of former US tech giants with poor situational awareness and long term play creating an open source market to outperform Amazon which they in turn often want to see split up for being too large (successful) just hands the game to China. Bad play.

        1 reply 1 proslijeđeni tweet 7 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      16. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        X : What about Facebook? Me : Oh, you should split them up. That's just market failure and there is no national interest in keeping that mess together. In fact, it's worse because Facebook's core value seems to be create social value which is what Gov's core value is ...

        1 reply 3 proslijeđena tweeta 17 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      17. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        ... i.e. Facebook (whether intentional or not) seems to have put itself on a path to becoming a direct competitor to Gov - secret courts, free speech, currency etc etc. All it needs is a flag.

        1 reply 2 proslijeđena tweeta 21 korisnik označava da mu se sviđa
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      18. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        X : So don't split Amazon but do split Facebook? Me : Yes. For reasons of long term national interest and market failure. But hey, we're talking the US here. They'll probably do exactly the opposite.

        2 proslijeđena tweeta 14 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      19. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        X : Are there no conditions in which you would break up Amazon? Me : Once Bezos et al have left and some Biz school / consultant droids take over talking about "shareholder value as no.1 priority" ... then you should split it up rapidly. The national interest will be gone.

        4 proslijeđena tweeta 19 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      20. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        ... Amazon serves the national interest through its ruthless focus on industrialisation which not only enables invention but forces the market to progress rather than spend time on rent extraction. This is why it will keep the US in the game with China ...

        2 proslijeđena tweeta 20 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      21. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        ... at some future point, when a bunch of muppets take over and start talking rent extraction (i.e. maximise shareholder value) then you know that national interest is lost. Better to split it up at that point.

        1 reply 0 proslijeđenih tweetova 8 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      22. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        A better path would be for the US Gov to invest in real invention / R&D whilst supporting Amazon in its industrialisation of industry and encouraging the embedding of existing practices of Amazon permanently with a view to nationalise the entire structure at some later date ...

        1 reply 0 proslijeđenih tweetova 12 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      23. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        ... however, that would require the US Gov to realise the market is a tool not some belief or reason for living and to take a much more China Gov strategic view towards the market. I can't see that happening in US politics.

        1 reply 0 proslijeđenih tweetova 13 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      24. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        X : You're not in favour of neoliberalism? Me : Neoliberalism has a context where it is useful. It's just not a one size fits all. That's the problem, always has been. Markets work well in specific contexts, you need to use it as a tool.pic.twitter.com/lCFFqt73gV

        2 proslijeđena tweeta 20 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      25. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        The other complication is this particular feedback loop in the culture map ... in seems to create a distortion in both memory and behaviour ... it's too long to explain in a tweet but I suspect ...pic.twitter.com/B2uym6Hq21

        3 proslijeđena tweeta 23 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
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      26. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        ... it's behind the distortion in economic viewpoint. It's another reason why I don't believe US policy makers are capable of playing the games needed against China. It's not that they're daft, quite the opposite. But they are institutionalised to a belief in the market.pic.twitter.com/Z1xq78yIIN

        1 reply 6 proslijeđenih tweetova 19 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      27. Simon Wardley‏ @swardley 5. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        ... gosh, we've gone quite a way from just talking about open source. However, it's all related to situational awareness and context specific gameplay.

        1 proslijeđeni tweet 17 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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